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Current Win Probability
Nürnberg 62.6%
Draw 20%
Ingolstadt 17.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.6%
23.3%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.9%
22.3%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nürnberg's performance.
Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ingolstadt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nürnberg that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ingolstadt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Nürnberg - Ingolstadt Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Lisewski R. (G) 11. Boving W. 14. Ceresoli A. 8. Fernandez J. 7. Ghrieb R. 9. Haugen S. 10. Justvan J. 18. Lubach R. 21. Masouras G. 5. Mkrtchyan S. 20. Otto F.
1. Ponath M. (G) 6. Antzoulas G. 18. Bennetts K. 8. Carlsen F. 4. Decker E. 11. Durakov S. 16. Ganda J. 5. Gul E. 37. Kanuric B. 10. Kaygin D. 15. Scholz J. (C)
Substitutes
30. Faye M. 39. Grimaldi A. 43. Hess T. 32. Janisch T. 36. Mandic K. 26. Mathenia C. (G) 16. Osawe W.
27. Bagaric T. 30. Drakulic O. 34. Frode L. 44. Hengmith T. 46. Klein D. (G) 23. Maljojoki J. 19. Rosenlocher L. 41. Sapina V. 7. Seo Jong-min
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Fernandez J. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Ghrieb R. ⚽,
26', Ghrieb R. 🟨,
36', 3 - 0, Ceresoli A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lisewski R. ↓, Mathenia C. ↑,
56', 3 - 1, Sapina V. ⚽,
61', Mkrtchyan S. ↓, Faye M. ↑,
61', Haugen S. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
71', Otto F. ↓, Mandic K. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 0.
Nürnberg has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Ingolstadt has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Nürnberg carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Nürnberg in today's match, at odds of 1.59.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Nürnberg has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:25 (averaging 0.8:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nürnberg against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 6:19 goals (averaging 0.9:2.7 per game).