Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 22

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nuremberg)

Referee: Hempel R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 10
Croatia	SportKlub 10
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Montenegro	Sportklub 10
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 10
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub 10
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
World	Onefootball


	Nürnberg		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	1.91	4	3.4	Watch
	1.87	3.5	3.55	Watch
	1.98	3.99	3.78
	1.91	3.9	3.7	Watch
	1.91	3.7	3.6
	1.9	3.82	3.78	Watch
	1.87	3.5	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.86)	3.77 ↓ (3.83)	3.62 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nürnberg
49.2%

Draw
24.9%

Ulm 1846
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

24.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

23.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Nürnberg - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Users Predictions: Nürnberg will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reichert J. (G) 2. Villadsen O. 5. Drexler T. 31. Knoche R. (C) 44. Karafiat O. 21. Yilmaz B. 10. Justvan J. 20. Jander C. 18. Lubach R. 17. Castrop J. 9. Tzimas S.	39. Ortag C. (C) 4. Gaal T. 32. Strompf P. 27. Kolbe N. 43. Rosch R. 23. Brandt M. 38. Hyrylainen L. 16. Keller A. 30. Krattenmacher M. 21. Batista Meier O. 29. Telalovic S.
Substitutes
28. Antiste J. 3. Danilo Soares 6. Flick F. 4. Gruber F. 32. Janisch T. 35. Joachims S. 26. Mathenia C. (G) 36. Schleimer L. 33. Seidel N.	7. Allgeier B. 11. Chessa D. 33. Higl F. 13. Leipertz R. 10. Ludwig A. 5. Reichert J. 9. Roser L. 18. Stoll L. 1. Thiede N. (G)
Coaches
Klose M.	Worle T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
31', Krattenmacher M. 🟨,
35', Hyrylainen L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kolbe N. ↓, Reichert J. ↑,
59', Krattenmacher M. 🟨,
69', Lubach R. ↓, Antiste J. ↑,
69', Yilmaz B. ↓, Danilo Soares ↑,
73', Telalovic S. ↓, Leipertz R. ↑,
79', Villadsen O. ↓, Janisch T. ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Jander C. ⚽,
90', Gaal T. 🟨,
90', Tzimas S. 🟨,
90', Batista Meier O. ↓, Higl F. ↑,
90+1', Brandt M. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
90+1', Keller A. ↓, Allgeier B. ↑,
90+1', Castrop J. ↓, Flick F. ↑,
90+1', Jander C. ↓, Joachims S. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Antiste J. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Nürnberg is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ulm is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Nürnberg is a favorite.

There will not play in Nürnberg: Forkel D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ulm: Dressel D. (Red Card)

Our prediction for today's Nürnberg to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
08.02.25	Magdeburg - Nürnberg	3:4 ✺
31.01.25	Nürnberg - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Schalke 04 - Nürnberg	3:1 ✺
19.01.25	Nürnberg - Karlsruher	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Nürnberg - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLWW
- Ulm 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
08.02.25	Ulm 1846 - Paderborn	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Ulm 1846	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Ulm 1846 - Jahn Regensburg	5:1 ✺
18.01.25	Kaiserslautern - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Preußen Münster - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
14.09.24	Ulm 1846 - Nürnberg	1:2
German DFB Pokal
07.08.21	Ulm 1846 - Nürnberg	0:1

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