Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm)

Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 3
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
Usa	ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Ulm 1846		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.87	3.4	2.4
	2.85	3.15	2.3	Watch
	3.01	3.55	2.45
	2.91	3.5	2.38	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.89	3.58	2.34	Watch
	2.85	3.15	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.85)	3.4 ↓ (3.51)	2.36 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
32.7%

Draw
27.5%

Paderborn
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

26.7%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

26.5%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Ulm 1846 aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Ulm 1846 - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Paderborn will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Ortag C. (C) 4. Gaal T. 32. Strompf P. 27. Kolbe N. 18. Stoll L. 23. Brandt M. 14. Dressel D. 16. Keller A. 30. Krattenmacher M. 21. Batista Meier O. 33. Higl F.	30. Schubert M. (G) 33. Hoffmeier M. 20. Gotze F. 4. Brackelmann C. 23. Obermair R. (C) 24. Terho C. 25. Scheller T. 6. Mehlem M. 32. Zehnter A. 39. Grimaldi A. 7. Bilbija F.
Substitutes
7. Allgeier B. 11. Chessa D. 38. Hyrylainen L. 13. Leipertz R. 10. Ludwig A. 19. Meier J. 5. Reichert J. 9. Roser L. 1. Thiede N. (G)	29. Ansah I. 5. Castaneda S. 17. Curda L. 22. Hansen M. 19. Herrmann L. 26. Klaas S. 35. Schulz A. (G)
Coaches
Worle T.	Kwasniok L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Dressel D. 🟥,
51', Brackelmann C. ↓, Castaneda S. ↑,
52', Obermair R. 🟨,
56', Higl F. ↓, Hyrylainen L. ↑,
60', Bilbija F. 🟨,
64', Stoll L. 🟨,
71', Bilbija F. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
73', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Leipertz R. ↑,
75', Mehlem M. 🟨,
81', 0 - 1, Mehlem M. ⚽, Obermair R. (A),
83', Brandt M. ↓, Chessa D. ↑,
83', Batista Meier O. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
86', Terho C. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
90+2', Scheller T. 🟨,
90+7', 0 - 2, Grimaldi A. ⚽, Ansah I. (A),

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Paderborn have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Ulm: Geyer T. (Knee Injury) Rosch R. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Paderborn: Engelns L. (Knee Injury) Grimaldi A. (Thigh Injury) Klaas S. (Groin Injury) Michel S. (Yellow Cards) Riemann M. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Paderborn: Platte F. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ulm won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
01.02.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Ulm 1846	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Ulm 1846 - Jahn Regensburg	5:1 ✺
18.01.25	Kaiserslautern - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Preußen Münster - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Ulm 1846 - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLTT
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
02.02.25	Paderborn - Greuther Fürth	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Darmstadt - Paderborn	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Paderborn - Hertha Berlin	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.01.25	Paderborn - Verl	2:1 ✺
09.01.25	Paderborn - Viktoria Plzeň	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
01.09.24	Paderborn - Ulm 1846	0:0

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