The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
NEC Nijmegen 37.9%
Draw 27.8%
Olympiacos Piraeus 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.6%
29.4%
42%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
29.3%
41.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC Nijmegen's performance.
Olympiacos Piraeus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olympiacos Piraeus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC Nijmegen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympiacos Piraeus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.8%
36.1%
36.1%
NEC Nijmegen - Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 10 - 28.6%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 13 - 37.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 34.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Olympiacos: 21.1% โ 53.1%.
1. Crettaz G. (G) 3. Sandler P. 24. Fonville D. 21. Storm T. 6. Nejasmic D. 25. Ouaissa S. 20. Lebreton N. 10. Tadic D. 99. Bischoff C. 9. Chery T. (C) 30. Linssen B.
31. Popovic B. (G) 23. Rodinei 45. Retsos P. (C) 5. Pirola L. 70. Onyemaechi B. 14. Garcia D. 32. Hezze S. 10. Martins G. 8. Sa G. 20. Jota Silva 9. El Kaabi A.
Substitutes
36. Entius F. (G) 38. Geneste J. (G) 8. Hansen-Aaroen I. 34. Kers K. 35. Monteiro J. 7. Mor E. 17. Nuytinck B. 5. Ouwejan T. 2. Pereira B. 14. Sierhuis K. 11. Willumsson W. T.
6. Carmo D. 22. Chiquinho 77. Filis C. 7. Fortounis K. 25. Maffeo P. 96. Mouzakitis C. 1. Ortega S. (G) 73. Roca J. 2. Saliakas M. 16. Scipioni L. 4. Smajlovic Z. 91. Stournaras D. (G)
Coaches
Schreuder D.
Mendilibar J. L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Garcia D. 🟨,
15', Jota Silva ↓, Fortounis K. ↑,
30', Ouaissa S. ↓, Mor E. ↑,
34', Sandler P. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, El Kaabi A. ⚽,
55', Rodinei 🟨,
59', Sa G. 🟨,
61', Sa G. ↓, Mouzakitis C. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Linssen B. ⚽, Tadic D. (A),
72', Garcia D. ↓, Scipioni L. ↑,
72', Martins G. ↓, Roca J. ↑,
80', Fortounis K. 🟥,
88', Pereira B. 🟨,
88', Bischoff C. ↓, Sierhuis K. ↑,
90+4', Sierhuis K. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
95', 2 - 1, Mor E. ⚽, Sierhuis K. (A),
103', Retsos P. ↓, Smajlovic Z. ↑,
103', Mouzakitis C. ↓, Chiquinho ↑,
106', Mor E. ↓, Kers K. ↑,
106', Lebreton N. ↓, Nuytinck B. ↑,
106', Linssen B. ↓, Monteiro J. ↑,
111', Onyemaechi B. 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 0-0.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Olympiacos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Nijmegen has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
Including home match between the teams, Nijmegen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.