The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nação 41%
Draw 29.8%
Guarani de Palhoça 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
31.2%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
32.1%
29.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nação has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Guarani de Palhoça has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nação than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani de Palhoça than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Nação - Guarani de Palhoça Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.
The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: )).
Recent matches Nação is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Guarani de Palhoça is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Nação will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Nação won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Nação won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
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