Match Info

Catarinense 2 - Round 12

Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday


	Nação		Metropolitano

	1	X	2
	4.60	3.20	1.71
	4.75	3.3	1.68
	5.17	3.54	1.6
	4.81	3.32	1.71	Watch
	4.65	3.15	1.67
	6.26	3.65	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↑ (4.2)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)	1.65 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nação
18%

Draw
27%

Metropolitano
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

27.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

26.6%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nação has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Metropolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nação than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitano than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Nação - Metropolitano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Metropolitano (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Metropolitano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 4).

Nação is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Metropolitano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Metropolitano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Metropolitano is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nação won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 2.3:3.7).

Including home match between the teams, Nação won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Metropolitano	18	12	2	4	36:18	18	38
7	Nacao	18	5	6	7	19:26	-7	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nação Esportes Canoinhas
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
21.06.26	Guarani de Palhoça - Nação	0:0 ✺
17.06.26	Nação - Grêmio Juventus	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	Hercílio Luz - Nação	2:1 ✺
03.06.26	Nação - Blumenau	0:6 ✺
27.05.26	Caravaggio - Nação	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLLL
- Clube Atlético Metropolitano
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
21.06.26	Hercílio Luz - Metropolitano	3:0 ✺
14.06.26	Metropolitano - Guarani de Palhoça	3:1 ✺
10.06.26	Fluminense-SC - Metropolitano	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	Metropolitano - Grêmio Juventus	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Metropolitano - Blumenau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
06.05.26	Metropolitano - Nação	5:2
15.06.25	Metropolitano - Nação	4:2
23.07.23	Nação - Metropolitano	3:2

Upcoming Matches