Match Info

PORTUGAL: TAÇA DE PORTUGAL - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Nacional		Mirandela

	1	X	2
	1.17	6	13
	1.25	5.75	8
	1.18	6.5	13
	1.2	6.44	11.27
	1.21	6.44	11.27
	1.17	6	13
	1.19	6.95	13.5
	1.24	6	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.3)	6.26 ↑ (5.67)	11.63 ↑ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
77.2%

Draw
14.8%

Mirandela
8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.3%

16.1%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

15.4%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional's performance.

Mirandela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mirandela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandela than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Nacional - Mirandela Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Mirandela will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nacional is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mirandela is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Nacional is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2
07.10.23	Nacional - Oliveirense	5:0 ✺
02.10.23	Penafiel - Nacional	1:4 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
28.09.23	Casa Pia - Nacional	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.09.23	Portosantense - Nacional	2:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.09.23	Nacional - Feirense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLWW
- SC Mirandela
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.10.23	Vila Real - Mirandela	2:2 ✺
01.10.23	Mirandela - Ribeirão	5:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Barreirense - Mirandela	0:3 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
17.09.23	Limianos - Mirandela	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	Mirandela - Tirsense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWLT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Liga Portugal
01.11.26	Arouca - Nacional	✺

Nacional - Mirandela