Match Info

Date: 26 August 2020, Wednesday


	Nacional		Progreso

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.75
	1.9	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2	3.3	3.2
	1.92	3.3	3.6
	1.99	3.49	3.82
	1.95	3.4	3.5
	2.09	3.66	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.77)	3.45 ↓ (3.71)	3.62 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
47.4%

Draw
27%

Progreso
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25.2%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional's form might have worsened.

Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Nacional - Progreso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 and 3).

Progreso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.08.20	Plaza Colonia - Nacional	0:0 ✺
20.08.20	Nacional - Montevideo City Torque	2:0 ✺
15.08.20	River Plate Montevideo - Nacional	2:3 ✺
09.08.20	Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.03.20	Nacional - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWTW
- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.08.20	Progreso - Danubio	1:0 ✺
19.08.20	Defensor Sporting - Progreso	2:1 ✺
16.08.20	Progreso - Cerro	2:0 ✺
08.08.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Progreso	1:1 ✺
08.03.20	Liverpool Montevideo - Progreso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
10.11.19	Progreso - Nacional	0:1
27.07.19	Nacional - Progreso	4:2
04.05.19	Nacional - Progreso	4:0

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