The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nacional 20.7%
Draw 25.6%
River Plate Montevideo 53.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.4%
27.9%
48.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.1%
21.6%
62.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.5%
5%
87.5%
Nacional - River Plate Montevideo Predictions
Users Predictions:
River Plate Montevideo will win
(35 of 40 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.25% – 97.75%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.
Recent matches Nacional is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
River Plate is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently River Plate have a series of home games.
In this match River Plate is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Nacional won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-5.
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