The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
River Plate Montevideo 34.5%
Draw 30.1%
Nacional Asuncion 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.7%
28.3%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.7%
21.4%
56.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.
Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+21.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20.7%
20.7%
58.6%
River Plate Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Nacional will win (votes: 17 - 58.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 40.7% – 76.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division (Clausura to Play Offs)).
River Plate in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Nacional Asuncion is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 11 head-to-head matches River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-13.
Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.
Watch
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