Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	River Plate Montevideo		Nacional Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.75	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.6
	2.7	2.9	2.6
	2.7	3.05	2.55
	2.89	3.31	2.59
	2.62	3	2.7
	2.72	3.32	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (3.18)	3.07 ↓ (3.22)	2.61 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
34.5%

Draw
30.1%

Nacional Asuncion
35.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.7%

28.3%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

21.4%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.

Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+21.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.7%	20.7%	58.6%

River Plate Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Nacional will win (votes: 17 - 58.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 40.7% – 76.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division (Clausura to Play Offs)).

River Plate in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nacional Asuncion is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-13.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.12.20	River Plate Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.12.20	River Plate Montevideo - Nacional	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
05.12.20	River Plate Montevideo - Godoy Cruz	3:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
05.12.20	Club General Díaz - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.12.20	Universidad Católica - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWTW
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.12.20	Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	4:3 ✺
30.11.20	Sol de América - Nacional Asuncion	2:3 ✺
22.11.20	Nacional Asuncion - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
15.11.20	Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	0:2 ✺
12.11.20	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
21.09.20	Nacional Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	1:2
21.07.20	River Plate Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion	1:1
25.10.19	Nacional Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	1:1
03.08.19	River Plate Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion	0:1
18.05.19	Nacional Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	0:0
16.03.19	River Plate Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion	1:1
17.12.16	Nacional Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.11.26	River Plate Montevideo - Tacuarembó	✺
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
31.10.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion	✺

River Plate Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion