Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Arsenio Erico (Asunción)

Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nacional Asuncion		Sportivo Luqueño

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.00	3.40	Watch
	2.00	3.10	3.30
	1.89	3.30	3.90
	1.99	3.33	4.14
	1.9	3.43	4.08	Watch
	1.96	3.25	4.00
	2.14	3.13	3.54	Watch
	2.00	3.05	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.79)	3.2 ↓ (3.53)	3.73 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Asuncion
46.4%

Draw
28.9%

Sportivo Luqueño
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

26.4%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.8%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Asuncion's form might have worsened.

Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Rojas S. (G) 21. Feliu J. 26. Coronel M. 4. Gutierrez T. 29. Vargas S. 8. Jara F. 15. Cardozo Lucena A. 33. Gaona Lugo O. 13. Meza L. 9. Benitez H. A. 24. Santa C. R. (C)	12. Mongelos F. (G) 4. Morales L. 5. Diaz J. 6. Wiechniak F. 23. Cantero A. 10. Bogado G. 21. Ojeda M. 8. Maiz A. 11. Ruiz O. 37. Comas L. (C) 20. Maggi I.
Substitutes
20. Arguello R. 7. Bailone I. 5. Benitez G. 10. Colman Escobar D. J. 23. Espinola C. 19. Gonzales L. 22. Melgarejo R. 1. Ortiz G. (G) 27. Prieto R. 32. Pumpido F. 17. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 18. Valdez I.	28. Balbuena A. 2. Barreto M. 14. Benitez F. 1. Campisi N. (G) 9. Gonzalez W. 15. Maldonado S. 29. Muro T. 22. Ocampos S. 7. Pereira K. 19. Perez M. 25. Ramos J. 32. Riveros M.
Coaches
Bernay V.	Lopez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Santa C. R. ⚽, Benitez H. A. (A),
33', Santa C. R. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ruiz O. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
46', Maiz A. ↓, Maldonado S. ↑,
60', Diaz J. 🟨,
61', Cantero A. ↓, Balbuena A. ↑,
61', Comas L. ↓, Muro T. ↑,
62', Cardozo Lucena A. 🟨,
71', Maldonado S. 🟨,
73', Meza L. ↓, Prieto R. ↑,
73', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Valdez I. ↑,
75', Ojeda M. ↓, Barreto M. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Benitez H. A. ⚽, Prieto R. (A),
88', Benitez H. A. ↓, Colman Escobar D. J. ↑,
88', Jara F. ↓, Santacruz Rodas J. F. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 10)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Nacional is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.3:0.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nacional Asuncion	13	6	5	2	20:8	12	23
9	Sp. Luqueno	13	4	1	8	14:24	-10	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Asuncion
Copa Paraguay
18.08.26	Benjamín Aceval - Nacional Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.08.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
03.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Nacional Asuncion	3:2 ✺
29.07.26	Nacional Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTTLW
- Sportivo Luqueño
Copa Paraguay
19.08.26	Paraguarí - Sportivo Luqueño	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.08.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0 ✺
29.07.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
27.03.26	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	3:2
27.01.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion	1:2
12.10.25	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1
29.07.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion	2:1
17.05.25	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	4:0
10.03.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion	2:1
21.10.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion	2:2

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