Match Info

Copa Pacena - Play Offs - Final

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte (Potosí)


	Nacional Potosí		Bolívar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.75	1.73	Watch
				Watch
	2.74	3.7	2.06
	4.15	4.1	1.71	Watch
	4.12	3.82	1.68	Watch
	4	3.75	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (2.78)	3.82 ↑ (3.5)	1.77 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nacional Potosí
24.5%

Draw
23.9%

Bolívar
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

26.3%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

26.4%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Potosí's form might have worsened.

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolívar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Potosí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolívar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Nacional Potosí - Bolívar Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Bolívar will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Galindo P. (G) 5. Mancilla D. 33. Demiquel L. 6. Restrepo E. 14. Guerra J. 7. Torres S. 8. Pavia L. 19. Nunez M. 15. Arce Pari J. 28. Palacio D. 29. Alvarez W. (C)	1. Lampe C. (G) 35. Rivero E. 3. Torren M. 4. Sagredo J. 8. Paz L. 80. Melgar C. A. 6. Vaca Moreno E. 77. Romero D. 5. Echeverria S. 23. Justiniano L. 10. Catano D.
Substitutes
3. Amarilla N. 4. Daza Gutierrez A. 27. Garcia A. 20. Mejia J. (G) 13. Montenegro L. 1. Mustafa S. (G) 25. Payares M. 2. Quiroz K. 11. Rojas J. 24. Zeballos L.	20. Ayhuana A. 31. Butron H. 9. Cauteruccio M. 36. Limpias L. 7. Mena F. 28. Mendez B. 25. Mendez D. (G) 17. Pato Rodriguez 26. Saavedra E. 2. Sagredo J. 29. Velasquez J. 21. Velasquez J.
Coaches
Eguez L.	Camacho S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Melgar C. A. ⚽, Romero D. (A),
28', Paz L. 🟥,
32', Torren M. 🟨,
35', 0 - 2, Romero D. ⚽, Melgar C. A. (A),
39', Demiquel L. 🟨,
45+1', Torres S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mancilla D. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
46', Arce Pari J. ↓, Quiroz K. ↑,
54', Melgar C. A. 🟨,
56', Sagredo J. 🟨,
60', Catano D. ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
69', Guerra J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
70', Torres S. ↓, Payares M. ↑,
77', Nunez M. ↓, Zeballos L. ↑,
85', Melgar C. A. ↓, Sagredo J. ↑,
88', Quiroz K. 🟨,
89', Rivero E. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 1.

Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.

Bolívar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 33:44. (average 1.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nacional Potosí won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Bolívar - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.57%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Copa Pacena
18.12.25	Nacional Potosí - The Strongest	1:0 ✺
16.12.25	The Strongest - Nacional Potosí	1:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.12.25	Nacional Potosí - Real Tomayapo	1:0 ✺
11.12.25	Real Oruro - Nacional Potosí	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Nacional Potosí - ABB	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWWWW
- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Copa Pacena
18.12.25	Bolívar - Blooming	5:0 ✺
16.12.25	Blooming - Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.12.25	Oriente Petrolero - Bolívar	1:3 ✺
11.12.25	Bolívar - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	5:0 ✺
07.12.25	Independiente Petroleros - Bolívar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
04.12.25	Bolívar - Nacional Potosí	5:2
Bolivian Copa Pacena
10.07.25	Bolívar - Nacional Potosí	2:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
29.06.25	Nacional Potosí - Bolívar	1:1
Bolivian Copa Pacena
26.06.25	Nacional Potosí - Bolívar	3:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
24.11.24	Bolívar - Nacional Potosí	5:3
28.07.24	Nacional Potosí - Bolívar	2:1
21.10.23	Bolívar - Nacional Potosí	4:3

Upcoming Matches