Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A4 - ROUND 12

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Nacional SP		Grêmio Osasco Audax

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.5
	1.97	2.86	3.82
	1.97	2.86	3.82
	1.88	3.18	3.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.43)	2.98 ↓ (3.02)	3.78 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nacional SP
46.1%

Draw
30.2%

Grêmio Osasco Audax
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

29.9%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

28.2%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional SP's performance.

Grêmio Osasco Audax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio Osasco Audax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional SP that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Osasco Audax than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio Osasco Audax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

#ad

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 11).

Recent matches Nacional SP is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Audax is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
10.03.24	Francana - Nacional SP	2:0 ✺
06.03.24	Nacional SP - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Rio Branco de Americana - Nacional SP	1:1 ✺
28.02.24	Nacional SP - Taquaritinga	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Nacional SP - União Barbarense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWTTL
- Grêmio Osasco Audax
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
10.03.24	Barretos - Grêmio Osasco Audax	0:3 ✺
06.03.24	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Taquaritinga	0:3 ✺
02.03.24	Grêmio Osasco Audax - União Barbarense	0:0 ✺
28.02.24	Francana - Grêmio Osasco Audax	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTLL

Nacional SP - Grêmio Osasco Audax: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide