Match Info
Stars League - Round 20Date: 28 February 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Iraq | Iraqia Syriac |
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Al-Qasim |
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Al-Karkh |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
8.5 |
4.15 |
1.33 |
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 |
10.8 |
4.71 |
1.23 |
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 |
10.51 |
4.9 |
1.26 |
 Watch |
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11 |
4.33 |
1.25 |
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10.3 |
4.6 |
1.27 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.22 ↑
(8.74) |
4.54 ↑
(4.23) |
1.27 ↓
(1.35) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Al-Qasim
8.8% | Draw
19.9% | Al-Karkh
71.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Al-Karkh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qasim than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Qasim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (-21.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Karkh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Al Qasim - Al Karkh Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 43', 0 - 1, Hmoud Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 65', 0 - 2, Sou E. (Own goal),
- 68', 0 - 3, Raad S. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8).Al-Qasim is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, Al-Karkh has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Al-Qasim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Al-Karkh is the clear favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Qasim won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).Including home match between the teams, Al-Qasim won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 15 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Iraqi Premier League | | | 20.09.25 | Al-Karkh - Al-Qasim | 2:1 | | 11.04.25 | Al-Qasim - Al-Karkh | 1:1 | | 09.01.25 | Al-Karkh - Al-Qasim | 0:0 | | 23.04.24 | Al-Karkh - Al-Qasim | 1:1 | | 08.04.23 | Al-Karkh - Al-Qasim | 2:1 |
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