Match Info

Stars League - Round 34

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Almanasa


	Newroz		Naft Al-Basra

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.25
	1.65	3.35	5.2
	1.66	3.42	5.23
	1.66	3.4	5.19
	1.61	3.44	5.33	Watch
	1.65	3.35	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.07)	3.33 ↑ (2.9)	4.9 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newroz
53.6%

Draw
27.6%

Naft Al-Basra
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

31.2%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

30.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newroz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newroz's performance.

Naft Al-Basra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naft Al-Basra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newroz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naft Al-Basra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Newroz - Naft Al Basra Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Newroz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Ahmed M. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Salah Jaber A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18).

In recent matches, Newroz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Naft Al-Basra has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Newroz might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Newroz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Newroz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newroz Sulaymaniyah
Iraqi Premier League
12.05.25	Newroz - Al-Naft	0:1 ✺
08.05.25	Najaf - Newroz	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Newroz - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:1 ✺
28.04.25	Al-Hudood - Newroz	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Al-Karkh - Newroz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWT
- Naft Al-Basra
Iraqi Premier League
12.05.25	Naft Al-Basra - Najaf	0:0 ✺
07.05.25	Al-Hudood - Naft Al-Basra	0:3 ✺
01.05.25	Naft Al-Basra - Duhok	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Al-Zawraa - Naft Al-Basra	3:0 ✺
22.04.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Minaa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
09.01.25	Naft Al-Basra - Newroz	2:0
01.05.24	Newroz - Naft Al-Basra	1:1
15.12.23	Naft Al-Basra - Newroz	0:1
29.06.22	Naft Al-Basra - Newroz	2:0

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