Match Info

Stars League - Round 32

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Almanasa


	Al-Hudood		Naft Al-Basra

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	2.6
	2.28	3	3.05
	2.34	3.03	3.04
	2.33	3.03	3.04	Watch
	2.32	2.97	3.03	Watch
	2.28	3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.45)	3.02 ↓ (3.29)	2.97 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Hudood
39.2%

Draw
30.1%

Naft Al-Basra
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

28%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

26.5%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Hudood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Naft Al-Basra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hudood than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naft Al-Basra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Hudood - Naft Al Basra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', 0 - 1, Ahmed M. ⚽,
59', Mena S. 🟥,
63', 0 - 2, Khalif Mohammed Q. ⚽,
86', 0 - 3, Ahmed M. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Al-Hudood is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Naft Al-Basra is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Al-Hudood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Hudood won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Hudood won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Hudood SC
Iraqi Premier League
02.05.25	Al-Naft - Al-Hudood	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Al-Hudood - Newroz	1:2 ✺
23.04.25	Al-Hudood - Al-Karkh	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Duhok - Al-Hudood	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Al-Hudood - Arbil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LLWTL
- Naft Al-Basra
Iraqi Premier League
01.05.25	Naft Al-Basra - Duhok	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Al-Zawraa - Naft Al-Basra	3:0 ✺
22.04.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Minaa	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Qasim	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Al-Kahraba - Naft Al-Basra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
09.02.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Hudood	3:1
26.10.23	Al-Hudood - Naft Al-Basra	2:1
29.11.22	Al-Hudood - Naft Al-Basra	0:0
06.11.20	Al-Hudood - Naft Al-Basra	1:1

Al-Hudood - Naft Al-Basra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide