Match Info

SLOVENIA: 2. SNL - ROUND 29

Date: 12 May 2023, Friday

Location: Športni park Lendava (Lendava)


	Nafta		Dob

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	4.5
	1.55	4	4.8
	1.56	4.06	4.81
	1.55	4.25	4.85
	1.53	4.2	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.34)	4.12 ↓ (5)	4.75 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nafta
58.8%

Draw
22.1%

Dob
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

11.3%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nafta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nafta's form might have worsened.

Dob has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nafta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dob than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Nafta - Dob Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nafta won 2.

Recent matches Nafta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dob has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Nafta is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Nafta won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Nafta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian 2 SNL
04.05.23	Jadran Dekani - Nafta	1:3 ✺
30.04.23	Nafta - Beltinci	2:2 ✺
22.04.23	Bistrica - Nafta	1:0 ✺
14.04.23	Nafta - Fužinar Ravne	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Triglav - Nafta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLTL
- NK Dob
Slovenian 2 SNL
04.05.23	Dob - Brinje-Grosuplje	1:3 ✺
29.04.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Dob	3:1 ✺
23.04.23	Dob - Rogaška	0:3 ✺
14.04.23	Ilirija Ljubljana - Dob	5:2 ✺
08.04.23	Dob - Krško	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
30.10.22	Dob - Nafta	1:2
26.02.22	Dob - Nafta	0:5
08.08.21	Nafta - Dob	2:3
05.05.21	Dob - Nafta	1:1
26.09.20	Dob - Nafta	4:4
11.05.19	Nafta - Dob	0:0
18.11.17	Dob - Nafta	1:0

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