Match Info

2. SNL - Round 15

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stanko Mlakar Stadium (Kranj)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Triglav		Nafta

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.4	3.05	Watch
	1.9	3.59	3.3
	1.83	3.98	3.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.21)	3.66 ↑ (3.28)	3.34 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triglav
47.7%

Draw
25%

Nafta
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

27.7%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.3%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triglav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Triglav's performance.

Nafta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triglav than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Triglav that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Triglav - Nafta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Triglav will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Nafta will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Triglav (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Triglav (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Triglav won 1.

In recent matches, Triglav has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nafta is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Triglav won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Triglav won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Triglav Kranj
Slovenian 2 SNL
09.11.25	Bistrica - Triglav	4:3 ✺
02.11.25	Triglav - Tabor Sežana	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Jadran Dekani - Triglav	3:4 ✺
17.10.25	Triglav - Jesenice	6:0 ✺
11.10.25	Krško - Triglav	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWW
- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian 2 SNL
09.11.25	Nafta - Brinje-Grosuplje	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Beltinci - Nafta	2:3 ✺
26.10.25	Nafta - Bilje	4:1 ✺
Slovenian Cup
22.10.25	Škofja Loka - Nafta	1:6 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
19.10.25	Nafta - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
15.10.23	Nafta - Triglav	0:0
07.04.23	Triglav - Nafta	1:0
Slovenian Cup
08.11.22	Nafta - Triglav	2:1 penalties
Slovenian 2 SNL
23.09.22	Nafta - Triglav	2:0
19.03.22	Triglav - Nafta	0:0
04.09.21	Nafta - Triglav	1:1
15.05.21	Triglav - Nafta	0:1

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