The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gomel 63.8%
Draw 21.7%
Naftan 14.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.4%
23%
7.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gomel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gomel's form might have worsened.
Naftan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naftan's recent form is better than expected.
Gomel - Naftan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Kleshchuk S. (G) 7. Adeola R. 4. Gavrilovich A. 10. Laptev D. (C) 77. Lazarev V. 9. Leonovich K. 17. Martinkevich V. 14. Pashevich P. 19. Silinskiy D. 11. Simanenka T. 16. Zayats I.
16. Shelikov D. (G) 30. Aymanov M. 97. Chernyavskiy V. 5. Lebedev A. (C) 50. Mafwenta G. 11. Pranovich I. 10. Savitskiy A. 24. Seleznev I. 8. Stefanishin A. 7. Tumanov A. 9. Yakovlev V.
Substitutes
8. Barsukov E. 22. Emeljanov D. 49. Karatai A. (G) 21. Kovalevich D. 90. Kukushkin G. 13. Mardas M. 3. Matveychik S. 5. Protasenya G. 43. Shaykhtdinov D.
6. Adamovich K. 14. Chmut I. 88. Drabatovich A. 21. Kirkitski K. 17. Krolik V. 25. Matvey S. 71. Naumovich A. (G) 94. Voskoboynikov A.
Coaches
Gorovtsov A.
Khrapkovski A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Laptev D. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Lazarev V. ⚽,
23', Shelikov D. ↓, Naumovich A. ↑,
28', Lebedev A. 🟨,
37', 3 - 0, Leonovich K. ⚽, Laptev D. (A),
42', 4 - 0, Laptev D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tumanov A. ↓, Adamovich K. ↑,
46', Lebedev A. ↓, Krolik V. ↑,
60', Laptev D. ↓, Emeljanov D. ↑,
60', Leonovich K. ↓, Kovalev O. ↑,
67', 5 - 0, Simanenka T. ⚽, Emeljanov D. (A),
68', Yakovlev V. ↓, Drabatovich A. ↑,
68', Martinkevich V. ↓, Shaykhtdinov D. ↑,
76', Zayats I. ↓, Kukushkin G. ↑,
76', Simanenka T. ↓, Mardas M. ↑,
84', Aymanov M. ↓, Voskoboynikov A. ↑,
85', 6 - 0, Kovalev O. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gomel won 4.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Gomel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Gomel has had a series of home games.
In this match, Gomel is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gomel won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:27. (average 1.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Gomel won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).