Match Info

J3 League - Round 24

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Axis Bird Stadium (Tottori)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Gainare Tottori		Matsumoto Yamaga

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.1
	2.98	3.15	2.18	Watch
	3.08	3.33	2.27
	2.80	3.04	2.57	Watch
	3.1	3	2.15
	2.99	3.2	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.98)	3.14 ↓ (3.4)	2.25 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainare Tottori
30.4%

Draw
29%

Matsumoto Yamaga
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

26.5%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

27.5%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainare Tottori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Gainare Tottori - Matsumoto Yamaga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gainare Tottori (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Koma R. (G) 55. Oshima H. 4. Nikaido S. 6. Nukui H. 16. Maruyama S. 11. Tojo A. 3. Nagano S. 21. Kawamura T. 19. Miki N. 7. Ozawa H. 10. Togashi Y.	1. Ouchi I. (G) 44. Nonomura T. 4. Takahashi S. 16. Miyabe T. 24. Ogawa D. 15. Yamamoto K. 25. Kawakami K. 40. Higuchi D. 41. Murakoshi K. 10. Kikui Y. 42. Tanaka S.
Substitutes
2. Fujita I. 14. Fukoin M. 24. Hoshi K. 42. Kaneura M. 17. Matsumoto T. 39. Sakuraba R. (G) 13. Shimizu Y. 9. Tanada R. 8. Tanaka K.	28. Fujieda K. 43. Hayashi M. 35. Kanda S. (G) 20. Maeda R. 18. Ohashi H. 22. Saso K. 19. Sugita H. 17. Yamamoto R. 46. Yasunaga R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Oshima H. 🟨,
62', Ogawa D. ↓, Yamamoto R. ↑,
62', Tanaka S. ↓, Hayashi M. ↑,
66', Kawamura T. ↓, Fukoin M. ↑,
69', Higuchi D. 🟨,
72', Murakoshi K. ↓, Maeda R. ↑,
72', Yamamoto K. ↓, Yasunaga R. ↑,
76', Tojo A. ↓, Shimizu Y. ↑,
76', Togashi Y. ↓, Tanada R. ↑,
81', Kawakami K. ↓, Ohashi H. ↑,
90', Maruyama S. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
90+2', Yasunaga R. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainare Tottori won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Matsumoto Yamaga has had a series of home games.

Matsumoto Yamaga might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gainare Tottori won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gainare Tottori won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Gainare Tottori - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.22%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainare Tottori
Japan J3 League
16.08.25	Gainare Tottori - Kochi United	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Gainare Tottori	3:2 ✺
19.07.25	Gainare Tottori - Azul Claro Numazu	4:3 ✺
12.07.25	Ryūkyū - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	Gainare Tottori - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLW
- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J3 League
16.08.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ryūkyū	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gifu	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Nara Club	3:0 ✺
05.07.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
18.05.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gainare Tottori	1:0
20.10.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gainare Tottori	3:4
08.06.24	Gainare Tottori - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:4
05.08.23	Gainare Tottori - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:1
02.04.23	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gainare Tottori	0:0
18.09.22	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gainare Tottori	2:1
05.06.22	Gainare Tottori - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:0

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