Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Nairobi United		Mara Sugar

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.82	3.15
	2.26	2.95	3.21	Watch
	2.21	2.89	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.21)	2.89 (2.89)	3.19 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nairobi United
40.5%

Draw
31.3%

Mara Sugar
28.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.8%

31.2%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nairobi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Mara Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Nairobi United - Mara Sugar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Mara Sugar could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Nairobi United is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Nairobi United has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 0.8:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nairobi United against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mara Sugar	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
7	Nairobi United	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nairobi United
Kenyan Premier League
11.10.26	Nairobi United - Kenya CB	2:2 ✺
31.05.26	Gor Mahia - Nairobi United	0:1 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
03.05.26	Nairobi United - Kenya CB	0:1 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
25.04.26	Mathare United - Nairobi United	1:2 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
12.04.26	Posta Rangers - Nairobi United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWLWW
- Mara Sugar FC
Kenyan Premier League
31.05.26	Muranga Seal - Mara Sugar	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Tusker - Mara Sugar	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Mara Sugar	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Mara Sugar - Posta Rangers	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Nairobi United - Mara Sugar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
01.04.26	Nairobi United - Mara Sugar	1:1
01.10.25	Mara Sugar - Nairobi United	0:1
Kenyan FKF Cup
01.06.25	Nairobi United - Mara Sugar	2:1 penalties
Kenyan Super League
02.06.24	Mara Sugar - Nairobi United	1:0
16.12.23	Nairobi United - Mara Sugar	0:2

Nairobi United - Mara Sugar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide