Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Mara Sugar		Posta Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.92	3.95
	2.03	2.92	3.91
	2.01	2.94	3.92	Watch
	1.95	2.7	4
	1.93	3.02	4.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.31)	2.9 ↑ (2.81)	4.03 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mara Sugar
46.1%

Draw
31.4%

Posta Rangers
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

32.6%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

31.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mara Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mara Sugar's performance.

Posta Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Posta Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Posta Rangers than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Mara Sugar - Posta Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Drona O. L. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Posta Rangers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mara Sugar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mara Sugar won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Mara Sugar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Posta Rangers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Mara Sugar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mara Sugar FC
Kenyan Premier League
01.04.26	Nairobi United - Mara Sugar	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Kenya CB - Mara Sugar	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Mara Sugar - APS Bomet	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Bandari - Mara Sugar	0:0 ✺
02.03.26	Mara Sugar - Sofapaka	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTTW
- Posta Rangers FC
Kenyan Premier League
28.03.26	Posta Rangers - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Posta Rangers	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Posta Rangers - Police FC	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Posta Rangers - Gor Mahia	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Muranga Seal - Posta Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
15.11.25	Posta Rangers - Mara Sugar	1:1
19.02.25	Posta Rangers - Mara Sugar	1:1
23.10.24	Mara Sugar - Posta Rangers	1:1

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