Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Nairobi United		Shabana

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.62	2.98
	2.62	2.52	3.01
	2.66	2.58	3.04	Watch
	2.5	2.45	3
	2.58	2.57	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.45)	2.55 ↓ (2.88)	3.03 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nairobi United
34.8%

Draw
35.4%

Shabana
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

31.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

30.3%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nairobi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Shabana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Nairobi United - Shabana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Odhiambo D. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Karamor M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Shabana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nairobi United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Shabana	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Nairobi United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Shabana - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.02%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nairobi United
Kenyan Premier League
01.04.26	Nairobi United - Mara Sugar	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	APS Bomet - Nairobi United	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Nairobi United - Ulinzi Stars	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	AFC Leopards - Nairobi United	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Sofapaka - Nairobi United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLLW
- Shabana FC
Kenyan Premier League
29.03.26	Shabana - Muranga Seal	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Gor Mahia - Shabana	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Shabana - Kariobangi Sharks	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	AFC Leopards - Shabana	5:1 ✺
25.02.26	Mathare United - Shabana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
04.01.26	Shabana - Nairobi United	1:3

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