Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Mathare United		Shabana

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.72	2.12
	3.64	2.89	2.09
	3.68	2.67	2.24	Watch
	3.7	2.5	2.15
	3.66	2.66	2.21
	3.4	3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.22)	2.74 ↓ (2.95)	2.17 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathare United
25.1%

Draw
33.1%

Shabana
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

31%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

30%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Shabana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Mathare United - Shabana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+8', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Mathare United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shabana is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Mathare United has had a series of home games.

Shabana could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Including home match between the teams, Mathare United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Shabana	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League
21.02.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Mathare United - Tusker	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Mathare United - Kenya CB	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Posta Rangers - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Mathare United - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWLTW
- Shabana FC
Kenyan Premier League
21.02.26	Shabana - Tusker	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Posta Rangers - Shabana	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Shabana - Bandari	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	APS Bomet - Shabana	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	Shabana - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
26.10.25	Shabana - Mathare United	0:1
16.02.25	Shabana - Mathare United	0:0
21.12.24	Mathare United - Shabana	1:0

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