Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	APS Bomet		Nairobi United

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.68	2.25
	3.42	2.88	2.15
	3.52	2.69	2.29	Watch
	3.2	2.63	2.3
	3.13	2.91	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.98)	2.76 ↓ (3.01)	2.28 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APS Bomet
27.2%

Draw
32.9%

Nairobi United
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

30.4%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

29%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APS Bomet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Nairobi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APS Bomet than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

APS Bomet - Nairobi United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 10).

APS Bomet is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nairobi United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nairobi United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, APS Bomet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	APS Bomet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Nairobi United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APS Bomet FC
Kenyan Premier League
21.03.26	Mara Sugar - APS Bomet	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	APS Bomet - Bidco United	1:1 ✺
02.03.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - APS Bomet	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	APS Bomet - Kariobangi Sharks	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Police FC - APS Bomet	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTLLT
- Nairobi United
Kenyan Premier League
22.03.26	Nairobi United - Ulinzi Stars	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	AFC Leopards - Nairobi United	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Sofapaka - Nairobi United	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Nairobi United - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Bandari - Nairobi United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
04.02.26	Nairobi United - APS Bomet	1:2
Kenyan Super League
17.11.24	Nairobi United - APS Bomet	1:0

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