Match Info

Stars League - Round 23

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Najaf		Al Mosul

	1	X	2
	3.35	2.78	2.2
	3.68	2.67	2.18
	3.68	2.7	2.22	Watch
	3.5	2.6	2.2
	3.68	2.71	2.17	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (3.2)	2.73 ↓ (2.9)	2.21 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Najaf
25.8%

Draw
33.2%

Al Mosul
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

31.5%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

31.4%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Najaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Al Mosul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Mosul than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Najaf - Al Mosul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Ngah C. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Raheem A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 2, Jasi M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Najaf has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Al Mosul has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Najaf may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Al Mosul could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Najaf won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Al Mosul	9	2	2	5	9:15	-6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
13.03.26	Al-Naft - Najaf	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Najaf - Al-Minaa	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Najaf	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Newroz - Najaf	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Najaf - Al-Kahraba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLLL
- Al Mosul SC
Iraqi Premier League
12.03.26	Al Mosul - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:1 ✺
02.03.26	Al-Zawraa - Al Mosul	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Al Mosul - Al-Minaa	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Duhok - Al Mosul	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Al Mosul - Newroz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
26.09.25	Al Mosul - Najaf	2:1

Najaf - Al Mosul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide