Match Info

Stars League - Round 27

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Al Talaba Stadium (Baghdad)


	Al-Talaba		Najaf

	1	X	2
	1.35	3.85	8.8
	1.37	4.05	7.5
	1.37	4.24	7.92	Watch
	1.36	3.7	9.5
	1.34	3.95	9.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)	3.96 ↓ (4.24)	8.66 ↓ (8.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Talaba
66.7%

Draw
22.9%

Najaf
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

21.5%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

20.6%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Talaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Najaf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Al Talaba - Najaf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Ridha F. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Ndasi N. D. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Oueslati H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
86', Abbas H. 🟨,
90+9', AL-Suh F. 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Talaba won 2.

Al-Talaba has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Najaf is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Al-Talaba is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Al-Talaba won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Talaba won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Al Talaba	8	1	4	3	9:14	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Talaba
Iraqi Premier League
04.04.26	Duhok - Al-Talaba	1:0 ✺
30.03.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
25.03.26	Al-Talaba - Amanat Baghdad	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Talaba	3:3 ✺
12.03.26	Al-Kahraba - Al-Talaba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWTW
- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
04.04.26	Najaf - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:3 ✺
31.03.26	Al-Gharraf - Najaf	1:0 ✺
27.03.26	Diyala - Najaf	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Najaf - Al Mosul	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Al-Naft - Najaf	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
26.10.25	Najaf - Al-Talaba	1:0
03.07.25	Najaf - Al-Talaba	2:0
04.01.25	Al-Talaba - Najaf	2:1
08.05.24	Najaf - Al-Talaba	2:0
09.03.24	Al-Talaba - Najaf	2:1
01.03.23	Al-Talaba - Najaf	1:1
22.12.20	Al-Talaba - Najaf	0:2

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