Match Info

Stars League - Round 24

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Diyala		Najaf

	1	X	2
	1.78	3	4.55
	1.71	3.15	4.85
	1.76	3.1	4.98	Watch
	1.75	2.88	5
	1.71	3.1	5.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.76)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	4.91 ↓ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diyala
51.9%

Draw
29.7%

Najaf
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

29.1%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

28.5%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Najaf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Diyala - Najaf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Alaa S. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Jasi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 2, Younes H. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.

Diyala may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Diyala is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diyala won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Diyala	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diyala SC
Iraqi Premier League
23.03.26	Arbil - Diyala	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Al-Minaa - Diyala	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Diyala - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Diyala - Al-Kahraba	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Diyala	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLL
- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
17.03.26	Najaf - Al Mosul	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Al-Naft - Najaf	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Najaf - Al-Minaa	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Najaf	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Newroz - Najaf	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
19.09.25	Najaf - Diyala	0:1
02.05.25	Diyala - Najaf	0:0
03.11.24	Najaf - Diyala	2:0

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