Match Info

THAILAND: THAI LEAGUE 1 - ROUND 29

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: 80th Birthday Stadium (Nakhon Ratchasima)


	Nakhon Ratchasima		Police Tero

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.5	3.9
	1.72	3.35	4.1
	1.79	3.65	4.61
	1.67	3.3	4.33
	1.73	3.76	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.02)	3.53 ↑ (3.2)	4.18 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nakhon Ratchasima
52.4%

Draw
25.8%

Police Tero
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.1%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.4%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Ratchasima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nakhon Ratchasima's performance.

Police Tero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Police Tero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nakhon Ratchasima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Police Tero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nakhon Ratchasima - Police Tero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nakhon Ratchasima won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Nakhon Ratchasima is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Nakhon Ratchasima won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Nakhon Ratchasima won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Thai League 1
29.04.23	Chonburi - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Nakhon Ratchasima - Thai Port	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Pathum United - Nakhon Ratchasima	5:2 ✺
02.04.23	Ratchaburi - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Nakhon Ratchasima - Chiangrai United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTLTW
- Police Tero
Thai League 1
29.04.23	Police Tero - Khonkaen United	3:0 ✺
23.04.23	Bangkok United - Police Tero	4:1 ✺
Thai FA Cup
19.04.23	Police Tero - Bangkok United	0:4 ✺
Thai League 1
08.04.23	Police Tero - Sukhothai	2:2 ✺
02.04.23	Nongbua Pitchaya - Police Tero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
27.11.22	Police Tero - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:0
Thai FA Cup
18.05.22	Police Tero - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:2
Thai League 1
16.01.22	Police Tero - Nakhon Ratchasima	0:1
19.09.21	Nakhon Ratchasima - Police Tero	1:0
21.03.21	Police Tero - Nakhon Ratchasima	0:0
19.12.20	Nakhon Ratchasima - Police Tero	4:0
22.06.18	Nakhon Ratchasima - Police Tero	0:0

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