The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Quevilly 28.6%
Draw 28.4%
Orleans 43%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.2%
30%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
29%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quevilly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Orleans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orleans's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orleans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Quevilly - Orleans Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Silistrie M. (G) 19. Gazzaoui Y. 28. Mukendi M. 26. Theresin V. 18. Hamdi M. 11. Seck D. 7. Come Ruiz S. 4. Diaby A. (C) 17. Sarr D. 29. Silva R. 20. Capuano G.
1. Faham F. (G) 27. Lemaitre M. 24. Drame I. 5. Sylla M. (C) 3. Ndicka Matam T. 6. Aubourg H. 10. Khous G. 20. Dali-Amar B. 7. Diako M. 19. Legendre R. 26. Ribeiro A.
Substitutes
21. Bouekou N. 34. El Kaddouri B. 5. Gaya Y. 22. Rosa R. 2. Ros M. 8. Tchimbembe W. 40. Viel T. (G)
14. Aouladzian Y. 4. Balenga E. 23. Koembo J. 40. Moussima S. (G) 18. Noireau-Dauriat S. 9. Prunier M. 21. Raillot L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Mukendi M. 🟨,
4', Dali-Amar B. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Seck D. ⚽, Come Ruiz S. (A),
37', Gazzaoui Y. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Legendre R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 2 - 1, Capuano G. ⚽, Diaby A. (A),
66', Lemaitre M. ↓, Koembo J. ↑,
67', Silva R. ↓, El Kaddouri B. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Diako M. ⚽, Khous G. (A),
73', Aubourg H. ↓, Noireau-Dauriat S. ↑,
73', Khous G. ↓, Raillot L. ↑,
77', 3 - 2, Gazzaoui Y. ⚽,
77', Gazzaoui Y. ↓, Ros M. ↑,
81', Drame I. 🟥,
85', Ribeiro A. ↓, Balenga E. ↑,
86', Sarr D. ↓, Rosa R. ↑,
86', Seck D. ↓, Tchimbembe W. ↑,
90+1', Noireau-Dauriat S. 🟨,
90+4', Diako M. 🟨,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 13th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quevilly won 2.
Quevilly has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Orleans has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Orleans could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Quevilly has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:16 (averaging 1.6:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Quevilly against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 9:7 goals (averaging 1.5:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Quevilly Rouen
10
3
4
3
11:14
-3
13
15
Orleans
10
2
3
5
9:14
-5
9
Outrights of French Ligue 3 for now
Orleans: 3.83%
Last Results with these Odds
Quevilly - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.21%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Orleans - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.8%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
France
Italy
United Kingdom
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Silistrie M. (G) 
Mukendi M. 
Seck D. 
Diaby A. (C) 
Silva R. 
Faham F. (G) 
Tchimbembe W. 
Moussima S. (G) 
Noireau-Dauriat S. 
Prunier M. 
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