Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 29

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel Picot (Nancy)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nancy		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.8	Watch
	3.85	3.4	1.9	Watch
	4.27	3.6	1.94
	4.13	3.66	1.82	Watch
	3.75	3.5	1.85
	3.94	3.62	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↓ (4.3)	3.53 ↑ (3.15)	1.87 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nancy
23.7%

Draw
26.4%

Saint-Étienne
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

29.6%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

29.4%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	5.3%	89.5%

Nancy - Saint Étienne Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Basilio E. (G) 44. Tacafred E. 4. Fernandez N. 21. Mendy E. 3. Bourgault J. 25. Gelin J. 17. Carlier M. (C) 8. Bouabdelli W. 26. Ztouti Z. 7. Fdaouch Z. 20. Bokangu B.	1. Maubleu B. (G) 39. Pedro K. 26. Le Cardinal J. (C) 3. Nade M. 8. Appiah D. 20. Boakye A. 14. Kante A. 11. Old B. 7. Cardona I. 9. Stassin L. 22. Davitashvili Z.
Substitutes
6. Bouriaud T. 22. Evans J. 19. Experience M. 30. Lembet G. (G) 77. Nahounou Y. 29. Ouotro P. 14. Saint-Ruf N.	19. Annan E. 17. Duffus J. 35. Gadegbeku L. 15. Lamba C. 30. Larsonneur G. (G) 28. Miladinovic I. 29. Moueffek A.
Coaches
Correa P.	Montanier P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Fdaouch Z. ⚽, Ztouti Z. (A),
10', Le Cardinal J. 🟨,
45', Davitashvili Z. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Appiah D. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
46', Nade M. ↓, Lamba C. ↑,
51', Gelin J. 🟨,
61', Pedro K. ↓, Annan E. ↑,
65', Ztouti Z. ↓, Bouriaud T. ↑,
68', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
73', Bourgault J. ↓, Experience M. ↑,
73', Kante A. ↓, Miladinovic I. ↑,
81', Bokangu B. ↓, Ouotro P. ↑,
81', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
81', Gelin J. ↓, Nahounou Y. ↑,
88', Annan E. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 1, Stassin L. ⚽, Cardona I. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 2.

Recent form of Nancy has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Saint-Étienne is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nancy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Saint-Étienne is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Nancy: Bamba R. (Injury) Dabasse A. (Inactive) Guendez M. (Inactive) Kenzo N. (Injury) Maouassa F. (Inactive) Sourzac M. (Arm Injury) Suljic C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: El Jamali N. (Knee Injury) Ferreira J. (Broken Hand) Jaber M. (Muscle Injury) Larsonneur G. (Leg Injury) N'Guessan D. (Inactive) Paalberg M. (Inactive) Tardieu F. (Calf Injury) Traore L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

St Etienne: 56.34% Nancy: 1.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Etienne	7	5	1	1	19:8	11	16
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8:7	1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
20.03.26	Boulogne - Nancy	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Nancy - Le Mans	2:4 ✺
06.03.26	Nancy - Montpellier	0:3 ✺
27.02.26	Laval - Nancy	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Nancy - Grenoble	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLTT
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
21.03.26	Saint-Étienne - Annecy	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Grenoble - Saint-Étienne	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Saint-Étienne - Red Star	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Pau - Saint-Étienne	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Saint-Étienne - Laval	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
22.11.25	Saint-Étienne - Nancy	2:1
French Ligue 1
20.05.17	Nancy - Saint-Étienne	3:1
21.12.16	Saint-Étienne - Nancy	0:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
14.12.16	Saint-Étienne - Nancy	0:1
Coupe De France
04.01.15	Saint-Étienne - Nancy	1:0 ET
French Ligue 1
23.02.13	Nancy - Saint-Étienne	0:3
05.10.12	Saint-Étienne - Nancy	4:0

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