Match Info

League One - Round 25

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Wutaishan Stadium (Nanjing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Nanjing City		Shaanxi Union

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.50	3.20	1.90
	3.60	3.25	1.94	Watch
	3.72	3.41	2.03
	3.51	3.43	2.03	Watch
	3.55	3.35	2.01
	3.52	3.32	1.91	Watch
	3.45	3.30	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.05)	3.32 ↓ (3.35)	1.97 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
25.8%

Draw
27.6%

Shaanxi Union
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.1%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

25.9%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Shaanxi Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaanxi Union than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Nanjing City - Shaanxi Union Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shaanxi Union will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Xi Anjie (G) 22. Meng Zhen 15. Tayir Shewketjan 2. Wang Xijie 20. Liu Le 16. Yang He (C) 17. An Bang 18. Dong Honglin 25. Bruno Baio 23. Hu Jinghang 10. Ngom Mbekeli J.	39. He Lipan (G) 38. Wang Jia'nan 5. Ma Sheng 24. Liang Shaowen (C) 27. Jiang Wenhao 42. Wei Zhiwei 19. Irandust D. 7. Zhong Wen 21. Wang Shijie 10. El Azrak R. 9. Selmani A.
Substitutes
29. Fu Shang 11. Hu Rentian 19. Ma Fuyu 14. Qurban W. 30. Wei Minghe 33. Xiang Rongjun 26. Yang Chao (G) 32. Yang Z. 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 4. Zhao Chengle 6. Zhou Y. 31. Zhu Qiwen	25. Cao Kang 34. Ghojaehmet Shahzat 15. Guo Wuyue 23. Jin W. 30. Leng Jixuan 31. Luan Yi (G) 20. Ma H. W. 29. Mi Haolun 32. Qian Ruofan 33. Tan Kaiyuan 40. Yang S. 16. Zhao Shi (G)
Coaches
Li Y.	Chen Tao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Selmani A. ⚽, Irandust D. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Bruno Baio ⚽, Yang He (A),
22', Chen Tao 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', 1 - 2, Irandust D. ⚽,
54', Yang He 🟨,
61', An Bang ↓, Qurban W. ↑,
73', Yang He ↓, Fu Shang ↑,
73', Hu Jinghang ↓, Hu Rentian ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Selmani A. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Wang Shijie ↓, Cao Kang ↑,
85', Liu Le 🟨,
85', Zhong Wen ↓, Ma H. W. ↑,
85', Wang Jia'nan ↓, Jin W. ↑,
90', 1 - 4, Selmani A. ⚽, Jin W. (A),
90+1', Wei Zhiwei ↓, Guo Wuyue ↑,
90+1', Selmani A. ↓, Yang S. ↑,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 15th in the Relegation - League Two and 5th).

Nanjing City has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Shaanxi Union shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Nanjing City could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Shaanxi Union has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Shaanxi Union is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Shaanxi Union in today's match, at odds of 2.02.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Nanjing City has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nanjing City against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Shaanxi Union	25	11	6	8	42:27	15	39
15	Nanjing City	25	5	6	14	21:37	-16	21

Last Results with these Odds

Nanjing City - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.74%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
19.09.26	Nanjing City - Wuxi Wugou	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Meizhou Hakka - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Nanjing City - Guangxi Hengchen	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Nanjing City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Shaanxi Union FC
Chinese Jia League
27.09.26	Shaanxi Union - Dalian Kun City	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Shaanxi Union - Suzhou Dongwu	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Ningbo Professional - Shaanxi Union	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Shaanxi Union - Dingnan United	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Shaanxi Union - Yanbian Longding	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
29.05.26	Shaanxi Union - Nanjing City	0:1
09.08.25	Nanjing City - Shaanxi Union	3:3
22.04.25	Shaanxi Union - Nanjing City	1:1

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