The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Foshan Nanshi 18.7%
Draw 23.2%
Nanjing City 58.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.8%
27.6%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
26.2%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Foshan Nanshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Foshan Nanshi's form might have worsened.
Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nanjing City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (+24.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Foshan Nanshi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-28.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nanjing City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Foshan Nanshi - Nanjing City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Ge Yifan (G) 22. Jiang Z. 12. Liu Zongyuan 31. Yao Hui 32. Yu G. (C) 15. Benavides N. 25. Aniwar Abduwahap 10. Zhong Ziqin 29. Xu Yue 44. Antwi R. 11. Ndiaye M.
26. Yang Chao (G) 15. Tayir Shewketjan 2. Wang Xijie 18. Dong Honglin (C) 22. Meng Zhen 10. Ngom Mbekeli J. 8. Yang Dejiang 11. Hu Rentian 14. Qurban W. 25. Bruno Baio 9. Ze Vitor
Substitutes
3. Jiang W. 5. Jin Liangkuan 17. Li Yizhuo 7. Mu Zihan 2. Qian Yumiao 33. Qin Haoqing (G) 21. Yu Zean 13. Zhang Xingbo 38. Zhang Zebin 14. Zheng Junwei
17. An Bang 23. Hu Jinghang 20. Liu Le 5. Wong W. 21. Xi Anjie (G) 16. Yang He 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 4. Zhao Chengle 27. Zheng Xuejian 6. Zhou Y. 31. Zhu Qiwen
Coaches
Li H.
Jankovic Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Ze Vitor ⚽, Ngom Mbekeli J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 4)
46', Yang Dejiang ↓, Zhai Zhaoyu ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Wang Xijie ⚽, Ngom Mbekeli J. (A),
59', 0 - 3, Ngom Mbekeli J. ⚽,
63', Meng Zhen 🟨,
63', Hu Rentian ↓, Zheng Xuejian ↑,
63', Bruno Baio ↓, Zhu Qiwen ↑,
65', Liu Zongyuan ↓, Jin Liangkuan ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Zhong Ziqin (Penalty Awarded),
72', Benavides N. ↓, Jiang W. ↑,
80', 1 - 4, Ze Vitor ⚽, Qurban W. (A),
82', 2 - 4, Ndiaye M. ⚽, Jiang Z. (A),
83', Qurban W. ↓, An Bang ↑,
83', Zhong Ziqin ↓, Mu Zihan ↑,
83', Aniwar Abduwahap ↓, Yu Zean ↑,
90+2', 2 - 5, Ze Vitor ⚽, Ngom Mbekeli J. (A),
90+2', Ngom Mbekeli J. ↓, Hu Jinghang ↑,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 16th in the Relegation - League Two and 14th).
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
Recently, Foshan Nanshi has faced a series of away games on the road.
Nanjing City carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Foshan Nanshi has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:7 (averaging 0.6:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Foshan Nanshi against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Nanjing City
28
7
7
14
27:39
-12
28
16
Foshan Nanshi ✔
28
3
7
18
28:64
-36
16
Last Results with these Odds
Nanjing City - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.6%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
China
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Ge Yifan (G) 
Benavides N. 
Antwi R. 
Ndiaye M. 
Ngom Mbekeli J. 
Bruno Baio 
Jankovic Z. 
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