Match Info

Jia League - Round 8

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center (Foshan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Foshan Nanshi		Nanjing City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.15
	2.7	3	2.55	Watch
	2.79	3.16	2.57
	2.74	3.11	2.64	Watch
	3.25	2.9	2.2
	2.85	2.85	2.72	Watch
	2.7	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.37)	3 ↓ (3.14)	2.48 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foshan Nanshi
32.1%

Draw
30.8%

Nanjing City
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

29.1%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

28.5%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foshan Nanshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nanjing City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Foshan Nanshi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nanjing City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Foshan Nanshi - Nanjing City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Yang Chao (G) 29. Sun Xiaobin 4. Luo Xin 17. Maslac M. 13. Zhang Xingbo 6. Chen Guokang 15. Chen Jie 30. Wong K. 7. Albarracin N. 9. Chang Feiya 10. Fortes C.	23. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 39. Yu Menghui 27. Zheng Xuejian 5. Isic T. 38. Zhang Hui 8. Yang Dejiang 17. Fu Yuncheng 11. Hu Rentian 10. Ogbu M. 18. Dong Honglin 16. Ding Yunfeng
Substitutes
35. He Mingli 16. Hua Mingcan 21. Liu Zongyuan 19. Ou Xueqian 37. Qin Haoqing (G) 45. Wei Feng 24. Wu Yuchen 26. Yao-hsing Yu 31. Yao Hui 28. Zhang Zhihao 8. Zhang Zichao 27. Zheng Junwei	30. An Bang 24. Du Junpeng 7. Guo Yi 35. Han Kunda 45. Ji Xiang 3. Li Mingfan 9. Ling Jie 26. Miao Jiawei 21. Qi Yuxi (G) 14. Wang Junhao 20. Zhang Xianbing 31. Zhu Qiwen
Coaches
Wang Hongwei	Liu Zhiyu

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Ogbu M. (Pen),
10', 0 - 2, Dong Honglin ⚽, Zheng Xuejian (A),
15', 0 - 3, Dong Honglin ⚽, Yu Menghui (A),
31', Luo Xin 🟨,
35', 1 - 3, Albarracin N. ⚽, Wong K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Hu Rentian ↓, Ji Xiang ↑,
62', Chang Feiya ↓, Zhang Zichao ↑,
62', Chen Jie ↓, Yao-hsing Yu ↑,
64', Zheng Xuejian ↓, Guo Yi ↑,
64', Yang Dejiang ↓, Zhu Qiwen ↑,
65', Zhang Hui 🟨,
68', Fu Yuncheng 🟨,
76', Luo Xin ↓, He Mingli ↑,
76', Wong K. ↓, Zheng Junwei ↑,
79', Ding Yunfeng ↓, An Bang ↑,
79', Zhang Hui ↓, Zhang Xianbing ↑,
88', Albarracin N. 🟨,
90+4', An Bang 🟨,
90+5', Yu Menghui ↓, Wang Junhao ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 12)

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Nanjing City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nanjing City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Foshan Nanshi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Including home match between the teams, Foshan Nanshi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foshan Nanshi
Chinese Jia League
04.05.25	Foshan Nanshi - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Foshan Nanshi	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Foshan Nanshi - Dingnan United	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.04.25	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Foshan Nanshi	2:1 ✺
Chinese Jia League
13.04.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Foshan Nanshi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTLL
- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
03.05.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Nanjing City	4:3 ✺
26.04.25	Nanjing City - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:1 ✺
22.04.25	Shaanxi Union - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.04.25	Nanjing City - Ningbo Professional	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
31.08.24	Foshan Nanshi - Nanjing City	0:0
13.04.24	Nanjing City - Foshan Nanshi	0:0

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