Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 24

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Ruichang Sports Park Stadium (Jiujiang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Jiangxi Lushan		Nanjing City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	3.4	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.57	3.2	2.11
	3.73	3.16	2.08
	3.5	3.2	1.95
	3.46	3.25	2	Watch
	3.45	3.2	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	2.02 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiangxi Lushan
26.1%

Draw
28.7%

Nanjing City
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

30.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

25.7%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Jiangxi Lushan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nanjing City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jiangxi Lushan - Nanjing City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Chen Junxu (G) 13. Zhang Yanjun 36. Zhang Junzhe 24. Du Junpeng 17. Xu Dongdong 44. Abdukerim Qaharman 10. Willie 11. Brown T. 37. Wang J. 29. Fortes F. 4. Zhu Mingxin	21. Qi Yuxi (G) 17. Meng Zhen 26. Liu Jiahui 30. Tayir Shewketjan 16. Gong Hankui 6. Wang Haoran 33. Sun Enming 7. Nem Jefferson 28. Ling Jie 11. Matheus Moresche 20. Ogbu M.
Substitutes
14. Chen Yunhua 30. Gao Mingyi 16. Hu Jiaqi 33. Kang Zhenjie 35. Li Jiahao 34. Ma Kunyue (G) 28. Muhta Muzapar 5. Nuer X. 6. Song Ziwenhao 25. Wang Hongbin 23. Yao Zixuan 26. Zhang Xiang	29. Dong H. 2. Dujardin A. 45. Ji Xiang 18. Nan Xiaoheng 42. Shi Chenglong (G) 27. Wang Hao 8. Wei Yuren 38. Xu Zhenyu 9. Yang He 39. Yu M. 24. Zhang Yu
Coaches
Yue S.	Cortez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Fortes F. ⚽, Xu Dongdong (A),
22', Abdukerim Qaharman 🟨,
34', Tayir Shewketjan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', Wang J. ↓, Kang Zhenjie ↑,
69', Sun Enming 🟨,
71', Meng Zhen ↓, Nan Xiaoheng ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Ogbu M. ⚽, Nem Jefferson (A),
88', Willie ↓, Chen Yunhua ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Xu Dongdong ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
16.09.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Jiangxi Lushan	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Yunnan Yukun - Jiangxi Lushan	3:0 ✺
17.08.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.8 WTTLW
- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
15.09.24	Nanjing City - Wuxi Wugou	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Foshan Nanshi - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.08.24	Nanjing City - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
05.05.24	Nanjing City - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1
13.09.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Nanjing City	1:2
04.06.23	Nanjing City - Jiangxi Lushan	0:0
08.07.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Nanjing City	1:2
10.06.22	Nanjing City - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1
31.05.21	Nanjing City - Jiangxi Lushan	1:0
05.05.21	Jiangxi Lushan - Nanjing City	0:1

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