Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 22

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center (Qingdao)


	Qingdao West Coast		Dongguan Guanlian

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.43	7.21
	1.38	3.8	8
	1.41	4.25	7.7
	1.39	4.1	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.82)	4.15 ↑ (3.25)	7.58 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao West Coast
65.6%

Draw
22.2%

Dongguan Guanlian
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

27%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao West Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qingdao West Coast's performance.

Dongguan Guanlian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dongguan Guanlian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qingdao West Coast that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dongguan Guanlian than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dongguan Guanlian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Qingdao West Coast - Dongguan Guanlian Predictions

Users Predictions: Qingdao West Coast will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Chen Zhao (G) 6. Ge Zhen 36. Sun Jie 5. Liu Pujin 26. He Xiaoqiang 44. Zhang X. 19. Guo Yi 17. Chen Po-Liang 10. Ramirez J. 39. Lei Wenjie 11. Raniel	34. Zhang X. (G) 35. He Mingli 14. Yao Xilong 32. Ma Junliang 28. Zhang Xingbo 27. Chen H. 23. Loe R. 30. Huang Chuqi 42. Wu Y. 10. Onuegbu K. 21. Cui Xinglong
Substitutes
15. Abduklim Merdanjan 20. Chen Ao 1. Dong Hang (G) 14. Feng Gang 42. Gao Yunan 2. Huang Jiaqiang 25. Li Kai 22. Osmanjan Abduhelil 9. Shi Jian 7. Tian Yong 3. Xue Mengtao 8. Zhao Mingyu	9. Beshathan Zanhar 1. Chen Junxu (G) 18. Li Canming 8. Ruan Jun 15. Sun D. 26. Su Shihao 20. Wang Xingqiang 11. Wu Jianfei 2. Zhang Sijie 22. Zhao Mingjian 36. Zhong Ziqin
Coaches
Jankovic Z.	Wang Hongwei

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 7).

Qingdao West Coast in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dongguan Guanlian is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Qingdao West Coast is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Qingdao West Coast to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Qingdao West Coast won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao West Coast
Chinese Jia League
02.09.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao West Coast	2:3 ✺
27.08.23	Qingdao West Coast - Ningbo Professional	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
13.08.23	Qingdao West Coast - Wuxi Wugou	3:1 ✺
06.08.23	Qingdao West Coast - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTWW
- Dongguan Guanlian
Chinese Jia League
02.09.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Dandong Tengyue	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Dongguan Guanlian	1:2 ✺
13.08.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Liaoning Tieren	4:0 ✺
06.08.23	Nanjing City - Dongguan Guanlian	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
27.05.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Qingdao West Coast	1:1
Chinese Yi League
18.11.21	Qingdao West Coast - Dongguan Guanlian	1:2
24.09.21	Dongguan Guanlian - Qingdao West Coast	1:3

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