Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 25

Date: 10 October 2023, Tuesday

Referee: Wei Z. (Chn)


	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao		Shenzhen Peng City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	2.9	1.98
	3.75	3	2	Watch
	4.41	2.89	2.06
	3.75	3	1.95
	4.1	3.13	1.94	Watch
	3.85	2.95	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↓ (4.09)	2.98 (2.98)	1.99 (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
23.3%

Draw
30.7%

Shenzhen Peng City
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

31%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

30.1%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Shenzhen Peng City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	10.5%	57.9%

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shenzhen Peng City Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Guangxi will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen Peng City: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dong Yifan (G) 39. Liu B. 35. Wang Huapeng 44. Mateos D. 25. Zou Zheng 29. Shan P. 30. Liu J. 17. Sun Weizhe 8. Chen Zeng 43. Ewolo U. D. 11. Orr M.	1. Li Zhizhao (G) 31. Ependi N. 15. Yu Rui 7. Xiao Kun 16. Li Zhi 11. Garcia E. 33. Zhu Baojie 28. Zhang Yudong 21. Nan Song 26. Egbuchulam C. 27. Abduweli Behram
Substitutes
22. Ding Quancheng 10. Fabricio 19. He L. (G) 12. Huang Xin 36. Hu Rentian 45. Liu J. 28. Li Xuepeng 18. Lu Pin 41. Ou X. 40. Wang X. 21. Zhao Haichao 4. Zhu Mingxin	25. Abdukerim O. 6. Chen Yi 37. Liu Yujie 36. Lu Y. (G) 40. Ma Canjie 18. Muhta Muzapar 32. Song Chen 5. Song Yue 4. Wang Qiao 23. Xia Dalong 29. Zhao Z. 8. Zhou Dadi
Coaches
Zhao T.	Tato J.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Recent matches Guangxi Pingguo Haliao is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sichuan Jiuniu is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sichuan Jiuniu will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guangxi Pingguo Haliao won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Guangxi Pingguo Haliao won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
17.09.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1 ✺
13.09.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Liaoning Tieren - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0 ✺
03.09.23	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Wuxi Wugou	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTTTW
- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Jia League
17.09.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Yanbian Longding	3:1 ✺
13.09.23	Ningbo Professional - Shenzhen Peng City	1:3 ✺
09.09.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2 ✺
02.09.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao West Coast	2:3 ✺
26.08.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
17.06.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1
09.08.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0
24.07.22	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shenzhen Peng City	0:1
Chinese Yi League
28.09.19	Shenzhen Peng City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0
15.06.19	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2

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