Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 27

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday


	Nanjing City		Jinan Xingzhou

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	4	6.25
	1.5	3.75	6	Watch
	1.52	4.03	6.37
	1.4	3.9	7
	1.47	3.94	6.75
	1.36	4.3	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.67)	3.99 ↑ (3.55)	6.66 ↑ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
63.3%

Draw
23%

Jinan Xingzhou
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

26.2%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

25.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nanjing City's performance.

Jinan Xingzhou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nanjing City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jinan Xingzhou than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Nanjing City - Jinan Xingzhou Predictions

Users Predictions: Nanjing City will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Qi Yuxi (G) 30. Erkin Ababekri 17. Sun Guoliang 32. Zhang Tianlong 44. Fu Huan 6. Duan Yunzi 20. Nie Aoshuang 7. Huang Peng 36. Traore A. 13. Wu Xinghan 28. Bouli R. (C)	16. Deng Xiaofei (G) 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 17. Xu Jizu 19. Ma Chongchong (C) 12. Li Suda 10. Wang Zihao 33. Ye Chongqiu 37. Yi Xianlong 20. Shohret R. 27. Fernando Karanga 18. Tambe R.
Substitutes
16. Han Xuan 19. Huang Zhenfei 1. Huang Zihao (G) 8. Jiang Shichao 39. Jiang Zhe 42. Ma Yujun 12. Qu Cheng 25. Xing Yu (G) 9. Yang He 3. Yen Yaki 4. Zhang Xinlin 15. Zhou Yu	23. Bai Jiajun 32. Gao Hanfei 9. Lu Yongtao 1. Mu Qianyu (G) 31. Tan Tiancheng 15. Wang Tong 29. Wu Junhao 21. Zhang Yi 28. Zhong Weihong
Coaches
Cao Rui	Antonic D.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 and 6).

Nanjing City is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Jinan Xingzhou is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Nanjing City is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nanjing City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
14.10.23	Nanjing City - Qingdao West Coast	1:0 ✺
10.10.23	Dandong Tengyue - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1 ✺
13.09.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Nanjing City	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTWT
- Jinan Xingzhou
Chinese Jia League
14.10.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0 ✺
09.10.23	Qingdao West Coast - Jinan Xingzhou	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Ningbo Professional	2:0 ✺
13.09.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 ✺
10.09.23	Yanbian Longding - Jinan Xingzhou	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
02.07.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Nanjing City	1:2

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