Match Info

Date: 29 September 2022, Thursday


	Nanjing City		Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.24	5.75	8
	1.22	5.8	8.4
	1.24	5.82	7.66
	1.22	5.25	10
	1.23	6.05	9.7
	1.24	5.6	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.45)	5.71 ↑ (4)	8.69 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
73.7%

Draw
15.9%

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.7%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

21.8%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nanjing City's performance.

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nanjing City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Nanjing City - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nanjing City will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Xinjiang will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nanjing City: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Recent matches Nanjing City is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Nanjing City is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nanjing City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Nanjing City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
25.09.22	Nanjing City - Zibo Cuju	2:3 ✺
20.09.22	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	1:2 ✺
16.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Nanjing City	2:3 ✺
06.09.22	Zibo Cuju - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTWT
- Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard FC
Chinese Jia League
24.09.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0 ✺
21.09.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	4:0 ✺
17.09.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Zibo Cuju	1:2 ✺
11.09.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Nanjing City	2:3 ✺
07.09.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
11.09.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Nanjing City	2:3
07.12.21	Nanjing City - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	5:0

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