Match Info

CHINA: FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2024, Sunday


	Nanjing City		Cangzhou Mighty Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.77	3.5	3.7
	1.75	3.75	4.33
	1.75	3.75	4.05
	1.75	3.75	3.91
	1.73	3.6	3.9
	1.81	3.64	3.99	Watch
	1.8	3.55	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (3.32)	3.65 ↑ (3.3)	3.95 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
51.8%

Draw
25.1%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

27.6%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

20.4%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nanjing City's performance.

Cangzhou Mighty Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cangzhou Mighty Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nanjing City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cangzhou Mighty Lions than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cangzhou Mighty Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Nanjing City - Cangzhou Mighty Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nanjing City will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Cangzhou will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, Huang Zhenfei ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Nanjing City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cangzhou has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cangzhou could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
15.06.24	Nanjing City - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
09.06.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Nanjing City	2:2 ✺
02.06.24	Nanjing City - Dalian Young Boy	2:0 ✺
25.05.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City	3:1 ✺
11.05.24	Nanjing City - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWLL
- Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Chinese Super League
16.06.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Qingdao Hainiu	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Shanghai Port - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:1 ✺
21.05.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:1 ✺
17.05.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:4 ✺
12.05.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Zhejiang Professional	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL

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