Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 6

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Beaujoire (Nantes)

Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 5
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	K Sport 2
Mexico	Caliente TV
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Nantes		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.7	4.33
	1.8	3.7	4.4
	1.87	3.76	4.59
	1.86	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.6
	1.88	3.77	4.61	Watch
	1.8	3.7	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.77)	3.7 ↓ (3.76)	4.45 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
52.5%

Draw
25.9%

Saint-Étienne
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.3%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.2%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.3%	14.7%	0%

Nantes - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: Nantes will win (29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 99.02%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lafont A. (G) 11. Coco M. 21. Castelletto J. 44. Zeze N. 3. Cozza N. 6. Augusto D. 5. Chirivella P. (C) 22. Thomas S. 8. Lepenant J. 27. Simon M. 39. Abline M.	30. Larsonneur G. (G) 8. Appiah D. 21. Batubinsika D. 3. Nade M. 19. Petrot L. 29. Moueffek A. 4. Ekwah P. 37. Amougou M. 11. Old B. 9. Sissoko I. 22. Davitashvili Z.
Substitutes
41. Acapandie M. 98. Amian K. 59. Assoumani D. 99. Carlgren P. (G) 7. Ganago I. 17. Gbamin J. 25. Mollet F. 31. Mostafa Mohamed 4. Pallois N.	5. Abdelhamid Y. 20. Boakye A. 6. Bouchouari B. 18. Cafaro M. 26. Fomba L. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 45. Miladinovic I. 32. Stassin L. 10. Tardieu F.
Coaches
Kombouare A.	Dall'Oglio O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Lepenant J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 2 - 0, Thomas S. ⚽, Lepenant J. (A),
52', Abline M. 🟨,
58', 2 - 1, Sissoko I. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
66', Castelletto J. 🟨,
67', 2 - 2, Sissoko I. (Pen),
72', Amougou M. 🟨,
78', Old B. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,
79', Sissoko I. ↓, Stassin L. ↑,
79', Abline M. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
79', Thomas S. ↓, Ganago I. ↑,
83', Amougou M. ↓, Bouchouari B. ↑,
88', Chirivella P. ↓, Mollet F. ↑,
88', Lepenant J. ↓, Assoumani D. ↑,
89', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Boakye A. ↑,
90+7', Kombouare A. 🟨,
90+7', Larsonneur G. 🟨,
90+8', Coco M. 🟥,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantes won 2.

Recent matches Nantes is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Saint-Étienne is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nantes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nantes is a favorite.

There will not play in Nantes: Centonze F. (Knee Injury) Duverne J. (Muscle Injury) Ganago I. (Injury) Guirassy B. (Injury) Kadewere T. (Muscle Injury) Mollet F. (Injury)

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Briancon A. (Knee Injury) Macon Y. (Knee Injury) Monconduit T. (Thigh Injury) Wadji I. (Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Nantes won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Nantes won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
22.09.24	Angers - Nantes	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Nantes - Reims	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Montpellier - Nantes	1:3 ✺
25.08.24	Nantes - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
18.08.24	Toulouse - Nantes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TLWWT
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1
20.09.24	Nice - Saint-Étienne	8:0 ✺
13.09.24	Saint-Étienne - Lille	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Brest - Saint-Étienne	4:0 ✺
24.08.24	Saint-Étienne - Le Havre	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Monaco - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
21.05.22	Nantes - Saint-Étienne	1:1
22.12.21	Saint-Étienne - Nantes	0:1
03.02.21	Saint-Étienne - Nantes	1:1
20.09.20	Nantes - Saint-Étienne	2:2
12.01.20	Saint-Étienne - Nantes	0:2
10.11.19	Nantes - Saint-Étienne	2:3
30.01.19	Nantes - Saint-Étienne	1:1

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