Match Info

Ligue 1 - Relegation - Play Offs - Final

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nice		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.33	Watch
	2.02	3.2	4.15	Watch
	2.02	3.25	4.42
	1.99	3.15	4.4	Watch
	1.95	3	4
	2.05	3.25	4.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.99)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	4.27 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
47.7%

Draw
30%

Saint-Étienne
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

29.9%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

31.5%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.5%	5%	72.5%

Nice - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 8 - 20.5%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 29 - 74.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 60.7% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Nice (4.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 4. Dante (C) 37. Peprah K. 92. Clauss J. 39. Coulibaly D. 8. Sanson M. 26. Bard M. 25. Cho M. 20. Louchet T. 11. Wahi E.	30. Larsonneur G. (C) 8. Appiah D. 26. Le Cardinal J. 6. Bernauer M. 39. Pedro K. 20. Boakye A. 14. Kante A. 35. Gadegbeku L. 7. Cardona I. 9. Stassin L. 22. Davitashvili Z.
Substitutes
99. Abdul Samed S. 28. Bah J. 32. Boudache K. 10. Diop S. 31. Dupe M. (G) 21. Jansson I. 90. Kevin 36. Mantsounga B. 24. Vanhoutte C.	17. Duffus J. 13. Ferreira J. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 28. Miladinovic I. 29. Moueffek A. 3. Nade M. 11. Old B. 10. Tardieu F. 52. Toty M.
Coaches
Puel C.	Montanier P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Le Cardinal J. ↓, Nade M. ↑,
46', Bard M. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
46', Cho M. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
46', Dante 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Clauss J. ⚽,
63', Kante A. ↓, Tardieu F. ↑,
63', Appiah D. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
69', Cardona I. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
78', Dante ↓, Bah J. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Davitashvili Z. (Penalty Awarded),
81', 2 - 1, Boudache K. ⚽,
84', Gadegbeku L. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
86', Sanson M. ↓, Abdul Samed S. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Wahi E. ⚽, Louchet T. (A),
88', Wahi E. 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 1, Wahi E. ⚽, Diop S. (A),
90+5', Wahi E. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 4.

Nice is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Saint-Étienne has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Saint-Étienne has had a series of home games.

In this match, Nice is the team to beat.

There will not play in Nice: Dupe M. (Inactive) Ndombele T. (Inactive) Pereira E. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: El Jamali N. (Knee Injury) Eymard P. (Foot Injury) Jaber M. (Surgery) Lamba C. (Injury) N'Guessan D. (Inactive) Old B. (Thigh Injury) Paalberg M. (Inactive) Traore L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Nice: Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Boudaoui H. (Injury)

There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Cardona I. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:23. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:5. (average 2.1:0.6).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Nice: 0.53%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Nice	5	1	2	2	3:6	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
26.05.26	Saint-Étienne - Nice	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
22.05.26	Lens - Nice	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Nice - Metz	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Auxerre - Nice	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Nice - Lens	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTLT
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1
26.05.26	Saint-Étienne - Nice	0:0 ✺
15.05.26	Saint-Étienne - Rodez	1:0 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
09.05.26	Saint-Étienne - Amiens	5:0 ✺
02.05.26	Rodez - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Saint-Étienne - Troyes	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
26.05.26	Saint-Étienne - Nice	0:0
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Nice - Saint-Étienne	2:1
French Ligue 1
01.03.25	Saint-Étienne - Nice	1:3
20.09.24	Nice - Saint-Étienne	8:0
11.05.22	Nice - Saint-Étienne	4:2
25.09.21	Saint-Étienne - Nice	0:3
31.01.21	Nice - Saint-Étienne	0:1

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