Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 16

Date: 12 July 2023, Wednesday

Location: Rugao Olympic Sports Center (Rugao)


	Nantong Zhiyun		Dalian Pro

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.55	3	2.65
	2.65	3.05	2.7
	2.74	3.12	2.79
	2.6	3	2.45
	2.74	3.08	2.72
	2.65	3.05	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.35)	3.06 ↓ (3.13)	2.69 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantong Zhiyun
34.9%

Draw
30.5%

Dalian Pro
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

30.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantong Zhiyun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nantong Zhiyun's form might have worsened.

Dalian Pro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nantong Zhiyun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Pro than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dalian Pro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Nantong Zhiyun - Dalian Pro Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Nantong Zhiyun will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Dalian Pro will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nantong Zhiyun: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Shi Xiaodong (G) 4. Shinar Y. 14. Bressan 15. Liu Wei (C) 19. Liu H. 16. Puclin D. 33. Wang Song 7. Jiang Zilei 8. Morelatto 11. Balde R. 28. Gui Hong	30. Wu Yan (G) 19. Wang Zhenao 13. Wang Yaopeng 6. Wang Xianjun 18. He Yupeng 5. Wu Wei 39. Yan Xiangchuang (C) 10. Tsonev B. 40. Bosancic N. 7. Lin Liangming 11. Mamba S.
Substitutes
25. Cao Kang 17. Halimurat Kamiran 1. Li Huayang (G) 30. Li Xiangbin 5. Ma Sheng 36. Qiu Zhongyi 21. Wang Jiahao 3. Wang Jie 27. Xu Wu 6. Yang Ming-Yang 26. Ye Daochi 29. Zheng Haoqian	32. Ablet Kudirat (G) 28. Fei Yu 14. Huang Jiahui 2. Lin Longchang 31. Lu Peng 38. Lu Zhuoyi 17. Manzoki C. 23. Shang Yin 35. Wang Yu 3. Zhao Jianan 15. Zhao Jianbo 8. Zhu Ting
Coaches
Garcia de La Torre G. F.	Xie Hui

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Nantong Zhiyun have a series of guest games.

Nantong Zhiyun will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nantong Zhiyun won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Super League
07.07.23	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
02.07.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Meizhou Hakka	2:2 ✺
28.06.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Nantong Zhiyun	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
24.06.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Nantong Zhiyun	0:3 ✺
Chinese Super League
09.06.23	Shanghai Port - Nantong Zhiyun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTLWL
- Dalian Pro
Chinese Super League
08.07.23	Shanghai Port - Dalian Pro	1:1 ✺
02.07.23	Dalian Pro - Qingdao Hainiu	1:1 ✺
28.06.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Dalian Pro	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.06.23	Yanbian Longding - Dalian Pro	0:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
09.06.23	Dalian Pro - Beijing Guoan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
15.04.23	Dalian Pro - Nantong Zhiyun	2:1

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