Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 24

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Rugao Olympic Sports Center (Rugao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Spain	Gol Stadium


	Nantong Zhiyun		Shandong Taishan

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.8	1.62	Watch
	5.5	3.75	1.55
	5.5	3.75	1.6	Watch
	6.35	4.43	1.48
	5.57	3.65	1.63	Watch
	5.5	3.75	1.53
	5.87	3.78	1.63	Watch
	5.6	3.75	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.67 ↑ (4.41)	3.83 ↑ (3.75)	1.58 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantong Zhiyun
16.5%

Draw
24.4%

Shandong Taishan
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

24.9%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

25.8%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantong Zhiyun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Shandong Taishan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shandong Taishan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Nantong Zhiyun - Shandong Taishan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nantong Zhiyun will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shandong Taishan: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Xue Qinghao (G) 15. Liu Wei (C) 20. Anthony I. 2. Wei Lai 30. Rosa F. 16. Puclin D. 25. Cao Kang 6. Yang Ming-Yang 37. Jia B. 29. Zheng Haoqian 26. Ye Daochi	14. Wang Dalei (G) 13. Zhang Chi 33. Gao Zhunyi 5. Zheng Zheng 11. Liu Yang 20. Liao Lisheng 28. Mijit Mewlan 25. Peng Xinli 23. Xie Wenneng 9. Cryzan (C) 29. Chen Pu
Substitutes
9. Godinez J. 43. Hua A. 17. Ji Shengpan 24. Liang Shaowen 1. Li Huayang (G) 36. Qiu Zhongyi 28. Shi Xiaodong (G) 13. Song Haoyu 3. Wang Jie 44. Yuye Z.	30. Abudulam Abdursul 8. Delgado P. 44. He X. 35. Huang Zhengyu 16. Jia Feifan 26. Liu Shibo (G) 3. Matheus Pato 10. Qazaishvili V. 27. Shi Ke 6. Wang Tong 1. Yu Jinyong (G) 31. Zhao Jianfei
Coaches
Patricio D.	Choi Kang-Hee

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Cryzan ⚽,
45+8', Liu Yang 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Xie Wenneng ↓, Huang Zhengyu ↑,
46', Zheng Zheng ↓, Matheus Pato ↑,
54', Jia B. 🟨,
54', Jia B. ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
60', Peng Xinli ↓, Qazaishvili V. ↑,
60', Mijit Mewlan ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
62', Wei Lai ↓, Liang Shaowen ↑,
62', Ye Daochi ↓, Song Haoyu ↑,
64', Huang Zhengyu 🟨,
70', Zhang Chi ↓, Zhao Jianfei ↑,
75', Puclin D. ↓, Godinez J. ↑,
90', Ji Shengpan 🟨,
90+2', Liang Shaowen 🟨,
90+13', 0 - 2, Cryzan ⚽, Qazaishvili V. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 5).

Nantong Zhiyun is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Shandong Taishan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nantong Zhiyun could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Shandong Taishan have a series of guest games.

In this match Shandong Taishan is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nantong Zhiyun won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Nantong Zhiyun won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese FA Cup
16.07.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Nantong Zhiyun	2:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
13.07.24	Meizhou Hakka - Nantong Zhiyun	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Wuhan Three Towns - Nantong Zhiyun	1:2 ✺
25.06.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLWT
- Shandong Taishan
Chinese FA Cup
17.07.24	Qingdao West Coast - Shandong Taishan	0:4 ✺
Chinese Super League
13.07.24	Shandong Taishan - Qingdao Hainiu	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Shandong Taishan	6:0 ✺
30.06.24	Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan	2:0 ✺
26.06.24	Changchun Yatai - Shandong Taishan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
30.04.24	Shandong Taishan - Nantong Zhiyun	3:1
16.07.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Shandong Taishan	1:1
21.04.23	Shandong Taishan - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1
Chinese FA Cup
13.10.21	Shandong Taishan - Nantong Zhiyun	1:0

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