Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 21

Date: 2 August 2024, Friday

Location: Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports


	Qingdao West Coast		Cangzhou Mighty Lions

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	4.33
	1.7	3.8	4.1
	1.75	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.77	4.05	4.35
	1.74	3.89	4.28	Watch
	1.67	4	4
	1.75	4.14	4.29	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.82)	3.91 ↑ (3.74)	4.22 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao West Coast
54%

Draw
23.9%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

22%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao West Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Cangzhou Mighty Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qingdao West Coast that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cangzhou Mighty Lions than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	14.3%	19%

Qingdao West Coast - Cangzhou Mighty Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Qingdao West Coast will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Cangzhou will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qingdao West Coast: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Shi Xiaton (G) 32. Chen Yuhao 5. Liu Pujin 4. Jin Yangyang 3. Zhao Honglue 10. Da Luz N. 20. Matheus Indio 14. Feng Gang 17. Chen Po-Liang 19. Beauguel J. 11. Alan	28. Han Rongze (G) 7. Zheng Dalun 36. Yang Yun 6. Obileye A. 15. Wang Peng 32. Sun M. 10. Taty Maritu O. 19. Zhukov G. 8. Zhao Yingjie 31. Solomon-Otabor V. 9. Heber
Substitutes
15. Abduklim Merdanjan 24. Duan Liuyu 6. Ge Zhen 30. He Longhai 1. Ji J. (G) 39. Lei Wenjie 2. Song Bowei 36. Sun Jie 13. Tan Kaiyuan 27. Yang Boyu 28. Yerzat Yerjet (G) 8. Zhang X.	29. Han Feng (G) 25. Hou J. 35. Jianyi Zhou 23. Li Hong 20. Liu Xinyu 14. Shao Puliang (G) 13. Sun Qinhan 17. Wen Da 5. Yan Zihao 18. Yao X. 16. Zheng Kaimu 12. Zhu Yue
Coaches
Kurosaki H.	Li Xiaopeng

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Obileye A. 🟨,
9', Yang Yun 🟨,
22', Chen Po-Liang 🟨,
28', Chen Po-Liang ↓, Zhang X. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Taty Maritu O. ⚽, Zhukov G. (A),
55', 1 - 1, Zhang X. ⚽,
58', Liu Pujin 🟨,
63', Liu Pujin ↓, Yang Boyu ↑,
64', Da Luz N. 🟨,
74', Heber ↓, Zheng Kaimu ↑,
77', Taty Maritu O. ↓, Yao X. ↑,
82', Zhao Honglue ↓, Ge Zhen ↑,
82', Da Luz N. ↓, Lei Wenjie ↑,
82', Alan ↓, He Longhai ↑,
90+11', Yao X. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Qingdao West Coast is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Qingdao West Coast won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Qingdao West Coast won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao West Coast
Chinese Super League
27.07.24	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Qingdao West Coast	2:1 ✺
21.07.24	Qingdao West Coast - Meizhou Hakka	3:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.07.24	Qingdao West Coast - Shandong Taishan	0:4 ✺
Chinese Super League
13.07.24	Qingdao West Coast - Zhejiang Professional	5:2 ✺
07.07.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Qingdao West Coast	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTLWL
- Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Chinese Super League
27.07.24	Changchun Yatai - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:0 ✺
22.07.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shanghai Shenhua	0:5 ✺
12.07.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Wuhan Three Towns	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shenzhen Peng City	1:1 ✺
30.06.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
14.04.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Qingdao West Coast	3:2
Chinese FA Cup
23.06.23	Qingdao West Coast - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:1

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