Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 14

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Workers' Stadium (Beijing)


	Beijing Guoan		Nantong Zhiyun

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	6.25	Watch
	1.46	4.2	6
	1.5	4.33	6	Watch
	1.53	4.34	6
	1.52	4.29	5.99
	1.4	4.33	6.5
	1.5	4.43	6.43	Watch
	1.48	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.41)	4.28 ↓ (4.66)	6.15 ↓ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing Guoan
62.9%

Draw
21.9%

Nantong Zhiyun
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

19.9%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

18.8%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beijing Guoan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Beijing Guoan - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Nantong Zhiyun will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Hou Sen (G) 16. Feng B. 5. Ngadeu M. 2. Traore M. 3. He Yupeng 10. Zhang Xizhe (C) 6. Chi Zhongguo 8. Guga 17. Yang Liyu 29. Abreu F. 37. Cao Yongjing	14. Chen Zhao (C) 20. Anthony I. 5. Ma Sheng 34. Luo Xin 18. Jiang Zilei 25. Cao Kang 16. Puclin D. 26. Ye Daochi 9. Godinez J. 29. Zheng Haoqian 10. Kallon I.
Substitutes
33. Abbas Nureli (G) 24. Adegbenro S. 26. Bai Yang 18. Fang Hao 1. Han Jiaqi (G) 35. Jiang Wenhao 36. Liang Shaowen 19. Muhmet N. 38. Ruan Qilong 20. Wang Ziming 28. Zhang Chengdong 21. Zhang Yuan	17. Ji Shengpan 31. Liao Lei 1. Li Huayang (G) 15. Liu Wei 39. Liu Y. 7. Nzuzi Mata K. 36. Qiu Zhongyi 4. Shinar Y. 3. Wang Jie 2. Wei Lai 23. Xue Qinghao (G) 11. Zimin Nuali
Coaches
Soares R.	Jurasovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Abreu F. ⚽, He Yupeng (A),
8', 2 - 0, He Yupeng ⚽, Zhang Xizhe (A),
15', Kallon I. ↓, Nzuzi Mata K. ↑,
16', Jiang Zilei 🟨,
23', 2 - 1, Zheng Haoqian ⚽, Cao Kang (A),
30', Ngadeu M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
59', Ma Sheng ↓, Liu Wei ↑,
59', Jiang Zilei ↓, Shinar Y. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Cao Yongjing ⚽, Abreu F. (A),
65', Nzuzi Mata K. 🟨,
72', Cao Yongjing ↓, Fang Hao ↑,
72', He Yupeng ↓, Zhang Chengdong ↑,
73', Ye Daochi ↓, Liao Lei ↑,
73', Luo Xin ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
73', 3 - 2, Puclin D. ⚽, Godinez J. (A),
78', Zhang Xizhe ↓, Muhmet N. ↑,
88', 4 - 2, Abreu F. ⚽,
90', Yang Liyu ↓, Wang Ziming ↑,
90', Chi Zhongguo ↓, Zhang Yuan ↑,
90+1', 5 - 2, Fang Hao ⚽, Zhang Yuan (A),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 14).

Beijing Guoan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nantong Zhiyun is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Beijing Guoan is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Beijing Guoan won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Beijing Guoan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
21.05.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan	1:1 ✺
17.05.24	Changchun Yatai - Beijing Guoan	3:2 ✺
11.05.24	Beijing Guoan - Meizhou Hakka	3:2 ✺
05.05.24	Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:1 ✺
30.04.24	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Beijing Guoan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWWW
- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Super League
21.05.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:1 ✺
17.05.24	Zhejiang Professional - Nantong Zhiyun	5:2 ✺
10.05.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Nantong Zhiyun	2:2 ✺
05.05.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Changchun Yatai	2:3 ✺
30.04.24	Shandong Taishan - Nantong Zhiyun	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
13.08.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Beijing Guoan	0:1
15.05.23	Beijing Guoan - Nantong Zhiyun	1:0

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