Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 30

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Atherton Collieries		Morpeth Town

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Atherton Collieries
23.3%

Draw
21.5%

Morpeth Town
55.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.4%

22.7%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

22.2%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atherton Collieries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

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The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atherton Collieries won 0.

Atherton Collieries is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Morpeth is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atherton Collieries could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Morpeth is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Atherton Collieries won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Atherton Collieries won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-8.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atherton Collieries
English NPL Premier Division
27.01.24	Ashton United - Atherton Collieries	4:3 ✺
13.01.24	Atherton Collieries - Matlock Town	1:3 ✺
01.01.24	Lancaster City - Atherton Collieries	3:2 ✺
26.12.23	Atherton Collieries - Workington	4:3 ✺
23.12.23	Warrington Rylands - Atherton Collieries	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LLLWT
- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
27.01.24	Morpeth Town - Hyde United	1:5 ✺
20.01.24	Morpeth Town - Ashton United	3:3 ✺
13.01.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Morpeth Town	0:2 ✺
06.01.24	Morpeth Town - Bradford Park Avenue	2:1 ✺
30.12.23	Marske United - Morpeth Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWWW

English NPL Premier Division
11.02.23	Morpeth Town - Atherton Collieries	3:0
22.10.22	Atherton Collieries - Morpeth Town	1:1
23.04.22	Atherton Collieries - Morpeth Town	1:1
28.08.21	Morpeth Town - Atherton Collieries	2:0
08.02.20	Atherton Collieries - Morpeth Town	1:5
English FA Trophy
09.11.19	Atherton Collieries - Morpeth Town	2:1
English NPL Premier Division
15.10.19	Morpeth Town - Atherton Collieries	3:0

Atherton Collieries - Morpeth Town