Match Info

USL League One

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Paradise Coast Sports Complex (Naples, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Naples		Boise

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.30	2.30
	2.85	3.2	2.2
	2.68	3.77	2.28
	2.69	3.81	2.29	Watch
	2.65	3.7	2.25
	3.05	3.2	2.17	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.3)	3.45 ↑ (3.35)	2.24 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naples
33%

Draw
26.4%

Boise
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

26.7%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

26%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naples has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naples's performance.

Boise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boise might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naples than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naples that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boise than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boise could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Naples - Boise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delgado L. (G) 3. Cisneros J. 5. Mastrantonio L. 4. Uderitz H. 20. Yearwood J. 6. Ciss O. 9. Miglietti G. 23. Mesias A. 21. Torrellas M. 11. Garcia C. 45. Likulia N.	18. Kliewer J. (G) 2. Ricketts J. 5. Ndiaye M. 25. Dengler J. 16. Crull J. 8. Gasso D. 66. Mayaka P. 14. Moon N. 10. Kostyshyn D. 7. Bodily B. (C) 11. Moshobane T.
Substitutes
19. Arevalo W. 30. Cerro I. 24. Collins T. 34. Fitzgerald L. (G) 12. Gay H. 99. Grant J. (G) 14. O'Connor K. 8. Osorio J. 22. Yoder J.	6. Adams C. 1. Andema J. (G) 36. Barea J. 17. Hanson J. 9. Luan Brito 3. Oyler K. 23. Yehya O.
Coaches
Gordon Z.	MIller N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Moon N. ⚽,
36', Garcia C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', 0 - 2, Kostyshyn D. ⚽, Bodily B. (A),
56', Moon N. ↓, Barea J. ↑,
57', Mayaka P. 🟨,
61', Likulia N. ↓, Collins T. ↑,
63', Gasso D. 🟨,
65', Gordon Z. 🟨,
68', Garcia C. 🟨,
72', Cisneros J. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
72', Mesias A. ↓, O'Connor K. ↑,
74', Moshobane T. ↓, Yehya O. ↑,
77', Ciss O. ↓, Cerro I. ↑,
77', Miglietti G. ↓, Gay H. ↑,
86', Dengler J. 🟨,
89', Kostyshyn D. ↓, Hanson J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Boise may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naples won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Boise ✔	29	14	7	8	45:39	6	49
9	FC Naples	29	11	4	14	34:44	-10	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Naples
USL League One
29.08.26	Greenville Triumph - Naples	4:0 ✺
26.08.26	Naples - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	AV Alta - Naples	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Westchester SC - Naples	3:2 ✺
05.08.26	Naples - AV Alta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWLW
- Athletic Boise
USL League One
29.08.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Boise	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	One Knoxville - Boise	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Boise - Forward Madison	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Boise - Corpus Christi	0:0 ✺
29.07.26	Greenville Triumph - Boise	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
13.05.26	Boise - Naples	2:0

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