Match Info

USL League One

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Paradise Coast Sports Complex (Naples, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Naples		AV Alta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.30	2.80
	2.28	3.40	2.60
	2.31	3.40	3.07
	2.25	3.44	2.99	Watch
	2.18	3.20	2.85
	2.26	3.57	2.89	Watch
	2.18	3.35	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.12)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	2.85 (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naples
40.9%

Draw
27%

AV Alta
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

26.3%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

26.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Naples - AV Alta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Naples will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Alta will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delgado L. (G) 20. Yearwood J. 8. Osorio J. 4. Uderitz H. 3. Cisneros J. 6. Ciss O. 7. Gray T. 23. Mesias A. 21. Torrellas M. 14. O'Connor K. 9. Miglietti G.	22. Smith D. (G) 12. Relerford N. 44. Pehlivanov K. 16. Ceja E. 3. Ortiz A. 10. Ibarra M. 6. Lay O. 21. Villalobos J. (C) 18. Aoumaich A. 99. Bahena Jr C. 7. Desdunes J.
Substitutes
19. Arevalo W. 16. Bulai-Tudor A. 30. Cerro I. 10. Ferrin A. 34. Fitzgerald L. (G) 11. Garcia C. 17. Halterman T. (G) 45. Likulia N. 5. Mastrantonio L.	9. Acuna J. 20. Antwi G. 11. Aoumaich I. 30. Gonzalez M. (G) 2. Ortiz C. 52. Ramos S. 15. Winum M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, Miglietti G. ⚽, O'Connor K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Miglietti G. 🟨,
51', Gray T. 🟨,
53', Ibarra M. ↓, Acuna J. ↑,
53', Aoumaich A. ↓, Antwi G. ↑,
64', Relerford N. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
64', Lay O. ↓, Ramos S. ↑,
66', Miglietti G. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
66', Ciss O. ↓, Ferrin A. ↑,
68', Pehlivanov K. 🟨,
69', Ortiz C. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Desdunes J. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Cisneros J. 🟨,
79', Gray T. ↓, Likulia N. ↑,
80', Garcia C. 🟨,
84', Ortiz A. 🟨,
89', Mesias A. ↓, Arevalo W. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Ferrin A. ⚽,
90+3', Acuna J. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Naples has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Alta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Naples may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Naples has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Alta will win today's game, with odds of 2.79.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Naples won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Naples won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	FC Naples	29	11	4	14	34:44	-10	37
13	AV Alta	29	8	8	13	35:42	-7	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Naples
USL League One
25.07.26	Forward Madison - Naples	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Naples	2:0 ✺
USL League One
08.07.26	New York Cosmos - Naples	1:0 ✺
03.07.26	Naples - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:3 ✺
20.06.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Naples	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AV Alta FC
USL League One
01.08.26	Richmond Kickers - AV Alta	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	AV Alta - Westchester SC	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	One Knoxville - AV Alta	2:3 ✺
15.07.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - AV Alta	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	AV Alta - Phoenix Rising	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
27.09.25	Naples - AV Alta	4:0
19.07.25	AV Alta - Naples	1:1
28.06.25	AV Alta - Naples	4:1

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