Match Info

USL League One

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: CHI Memorial Stadium (East Ridge, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Chattanooga Red Wolves		Boise

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.70	3.30	2.25
	3.26	3.26	2.22
	2.84	3.6	2.27	Watch
	2.75	3.50	2.20
	3.10	3.62	2.12	Watch
	2.95	3.15	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.5)	3.41 ↑ (3.25)	2.2 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chattanooga Red Wolves
31.3%

Draw
27%

Boise
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27.5%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

28%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chattanooga Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Boise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boise than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chattanooga Red Wolves - Boise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 11. Ramos J. 2. Adewole T. 22. Kinzner E. 33. Ayimbila J. 4. Vaughan J. 6. Wessels W. 35. Kelly-Rosales A. 23. Lelin Y. 7. Hernandez O. 14. Hernandez P.	18. Kliewer J. (G) 2. Ricketts J. 15. Yaro J. 25. Dengler J. 16. Crull J. 6. Adams C. (C) 66. Mayaka P. 14. Moon N. 10. Kostyshyn D. 7. Bodily B. 11. Moshobane T.
Substitutes
24. Apolinar R. 10. Bentley M. 15. Clapier D. 40. Engmann C. 12. Jerez R. (G) 66. Knapp M. 9. Mercer G.	22. Amang T. 1. Andema J. (G) 8. Gasso D. 17. Hanson J. 9. Luan Brito 5. Ndiaye M. 23. Yehya O.
Coaches
MacKenzie S.	MIller N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Moshobane T. ⚽, Moon N. (A),
37', Crull J. 🟨,
38', Kelly-Rosales A. 🟨,
45+1', Moshobane T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Wessels W. ↓, Knapp M. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Hernandez O. (Penalty Awarded),
56', 2 - 1, Lelin Y. ⚽,
61', Kostyshyn D. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
62', Vaughan J. ↓, Bentley M. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Moon N. ⚽,
73', Hernandez O. ↓, Mercer G. ↑,
73', Lelin Y. ↓, Clapier D. ↑,
77', Moshobane T. ↓, Yehya O. ↑,
81', 2 - 3, Amang T. ⚽, Bodily B. (A),
85', Ayimbila J. 🟨,
86', Ricketts J. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
87', Knapp M. 🟨,
90+5', Ramos J. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Boise may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chattanooga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Boise ✔	29	14	7	8	45:39	6	49
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	7	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL League One
22.08.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - New York Cosmos	3:3 ✺
19.08.26	Sarasota Paradise - Chattanooga Red Wolves	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Fort Wayne - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha	1:3 ✺
29.07.26	Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLWLL
- Athletic Boise
USL League One
22.08.26	One Knoxville - Boise	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Boise - Forward Madison	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Boise - Corpus Christi	0:0 ✺
29.07.26	Greenville Triumph - Boise	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	New York Cosmos - Boise	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
02.05.26	Boise - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1

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