Match Info

USL League One

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Paradise Coast Sports Complex (Naples, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Naples		Union Omaha

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.10	3.40	1.95
	3.25	3.35	1.92
	3.23	3.54	2
	3.28	3.67	2.03	Watch
	3.15	3.45	1.96
	3.25	3.5	1.97	Watch
	3.25	3.4	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (3.05)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	1.97 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naples
28.1%

Draw
26%

Union Omaha
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

26.3%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

26.1%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Naples - Union Omaha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delgado L. (C) 3. Cisneros J. 5. Mastrantonio L. 4. Uderitz H. 20. Yearwood J. 6. Ciss O. 8. Osorio J. 45. Likulia N. 23. Mesias A. 14. O'Connor K. 9. Miglietti G.	99. Jensen C. (G) 6. Guediri S. 4. Owusu S. 3. Malone B. 23. Boudadi Y. 28. Caceres E. 8. Gabriel Cabral 7. Billhardt A. 22. Tekiela K. 77. Gavilanes A. 9. Botello Faz P. (C)
Substitutes
19. Arevalo W. 16. Bulai-Tudor A. 30. Cerro I. 24. Collins T. 10. Ferrin A. 11. Garcia C. 12. Gay H. 99. Grant J. (G) 31. Rose T.	21. Gomez A. 17. Gutierrez D. 27. Jiba R. 14. Kallman B. 24. Nuhu R. (G) 20. Ors Navarro S. 12. Vargas M.
Coaches
Gordon Z.	Candela V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Ciss O. 🟨,
30', Mastrantonio L. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Likulia N. ⚽,
45+3', Delgado L. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Billhardt A. ↓, Ors Navarro S. ↑,
51', Ors Navarro S. 🟨,
58', Mesias A. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
58', Likulia N. ↓, Ferrin A. ↑,
61', Caceres E. ↓, Jiba R. ↑,
61', Botello Faz P. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
73', Tekiela K. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Ferrin A. ⚽, O'Connor K. (A),
77', Miglietti G. ↓, Collins T. ↑,
77', Ciss O. ↓, Bulai-Tudor A. ↑,
78', Gavilanes A. ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
85', Ferrin A. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Cisneros J. ↓, Rose T. ↑,
86', Gabriel Cabral ↓, Kallman B. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Naples has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Union Omaha is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Naples has had a series of away games.

Union Omaha will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Naples won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Naples won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Omaha ✔	29	19	4	6	53:31	22	61
9	FC Naples	29	11	4	14	34:44	-10	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Naples
USL League One
22.08.26	AV Alta - Naples	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Westchester SC - Naples	3:2 ✺
05.08.26	Naples - AV Alta	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Forward Madison - Naples	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Naples	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWLL
- Union Omaha
USL League One
22.08.26	Union Omaha - Sarasota Paradise	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Union Omaha - Richmond Kickers	5:1 ✺
08.08.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Fort Wayne - Union Omaha	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
30.05.26	Union Omaha - Naples	2:1
01.11.25	Naples - Union Omaha	1:0 penalties
05.10.25	Union Omaha - Naples	1:0
25.05.25	Naples - Union Omaha	3:1

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